Kricka Larry J, Polsky Tracey G, Park Jason Y, Fortina Paolo
Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, 7.103 Founders Pavilion, 3400 Spruce Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Pennsylvania School of Medicine, 7.103 Founders Pavilion, 3400 Spruce Street, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA; Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Clin Chim Acta. 2015 Jan 1;438:284-303. doi: 10.1016/j.cca.2014.09.005. Epub 2014 Sep 16.
Predicting the future is a difficult task. Not surprisingly, there are many examples and assumptions that have proved to be wrong. This review surveys the many predictions, beginning in 1887, about the future of laboratory medicine and its sub-specialties such as clinical chemistry and molecular pathology. It provides a commentary on the accuracy of the predictions and offers opinions on emerging technologies, economic factors and social developments that may play a role in shaping the future of laboratory medicine.
预测未来是一项艰巨的任务。不足为奇的是,有许多例子和假设已被证明是错误的。本综述考察了自1887年以来有关检验医学及其临床化学和分子病理学等亚专业未来的诸多预测。它对这些预测的准确性进行了评论,并就可能在塑造检验医学未来中发挥作用的新兴技术、经济因素和社会发展提出了看法。