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孤立性脑桥旁正中区蛛网膜下腔出血的血管造影成像的成本效益。

Cost-effectiveness of angiographic imaging in isolated perimesencephalic subarachnoid hemorrhage.

机构信息

From the Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT (V.B.K., H.P.F., A.M.); and Timothy Dwight College, Yale University, New Haven, CT (X.W.).

出版信息

Stroke. 2014 Dec;45(12):3576-82. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.006679. Epub 2014 Oct 21.

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The purpose of this study is to perform a comprehensive cost-effectiveness analysis of all possible permutations of computed tomographic angiography (CTA) and digital subtraction angiography imaging strategies for both initial diagnosis and follow-up imaging in patients with perimesencephalic subarachnoid hemorrhage on noncontrast CT.

METHODS

Each possible imaging strategy was evaluated in a decision tree created with TreeAge Pro Suite 2014, with parameters derived from a meta-analysis of 40 studies and literature values. Base case and sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the cost-effectiveness of each strategy. A Monte Carlo simulation was conducted with distributional variables to evaluate the robustness of the optimal strategy.

RESULTS

The base case scenario showed performing initial CTA with no follow-up angiographic studies in patients with perimesencephalic subarachnoid hemorrhage to be the most cost-effective strategy ($5422/quality adjusted life year). Using a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50 000/quality adjusted life year, the most cost-effective strategy based on net monetary benefit is CTA with no follow-up when the sensitivity of initial CTA is >97.9%, and CTA with CTA follow-up otherwise. The Monte Carlo simulation reported CTA with no follow-up to be the optimal strategy at willingness-to-pay of $50 000 in 99.99% of the iterations. Digital subtraction angiography, whether at initial diagnosis or as part of follow-up imaging, is never the optimal strategy in our model.

CONCLUSIONS

CTA without follow-up imaging is the optimal strategy for evaluation of patients with perimesencephalic subarachnoid hemorrhage when modern CT scanners and a strict definition of perimesencephalic subarachnoid hemorrhage are used. Digital subtraction angiography and follow-up imaging are not optimal as they carry complications and associated costs.

摘要

背景与目的

本研究旨在对非对比 CT 检查提示中脑周围蛛网膜下腔出血的患者,通过计算机断层血管造影术(CTA)和数字减影血管造影术的所有可能成像策略进行全面的成本效益分析,用于初始诊断和随访成像。

方法

利用 TreeAge Pro Suite 2014 创建决策树,对每个可能的成像策略进行评估,决策树中的参数来源于 40 项研究的荟萃分析和文献值。进行基本案例和敏感性分析,以评估每种策略的成本效益。利用分布变量进行蒙特卡罗模拟,以评估最优策略的稳健性。

结果

基本案例表明,对于中脑周围蛛网膜下腔出血患者,初始行 CTA 检查而不进行后续血管造影研究是最具成本效益的策略(5422 美元/质量调整生命年)。当初始 CTA 的敏感度>97.9%时,基于净货币收益,最具成本效益的策略是 CTA 且无后续检查;当敏感度<97.9%时,最具成本效益的策略是 CTA 加 CTA 随访。蒙特卡罗模拟报告称,在支付意愿为 50000 美元的情况下,99.99%的迭代中,无后续 CTA 检查的策略是最优策略。在我们的模型中,数字减影血管造影术,无论是初始诊断还是随访成像的一部分,都不是最优策略。

结论

在使用现代 CT 扫描仪和严格定义中脑周围蛛网膜下腔出血的情况下,对于中脑周围蛛网膜下腔出血患者,不进行后续成像的 CTA 检查是最佳策略。由于存在并发症和相关费用,数字减影血管造影术和随访成像不是最佳选择。

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