Conservation Science Group, Department of Zoology, Cambridge University, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EJ, UK.
Centre for Biodiversity and Biosecurity, School of Biological Sciences, University of Auckland, PB 92019, Auckland, New Zealand.
Trends Ecol Evol. 2015 Jan;30(1):17-24. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2014.11.002. Epub 2014 Nov 27.
This paper presents the results of our sixth annual horizon scan, which aims to identify phenomena that may have substantial effects on the global environment, but are not widely known or well understood. A group of professional horizon scanners, researchers, practitioners, and a journalist identified 15 topics via an iterative, Delphi-like process. The topics include a novel class of insecticide compounds, legalisation of recreational drugs, and the emergence of a new ecosystem associated with ice retreat in the Antarctic.
本文呈现了我们第六次年度远景扫描的结果,该扫描旨在识别可能对全球环境产生重大影响但尚未广泛知晓或理解的现象。一组专业的远景扫描人员、研究人员、从业者和一名记者通过迭代式的、类似德尔菲的过程确定了 15 个主题。这些主题包括一类新型杀虫剂化合物、娱乐性毒品合法化以及与南极冰消退相关的新生态系统的出现。