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老年人根治性膀胱切除术后的当代90天死亡率

Contemporary 90-day mortality rates after radical cystectomy in the elderly.

作者信息

Schiffmann J, Gandaglia G, Larcher A, Sun M, Tian Z, Shariat S F, McCormack M, Valiquette L, Montorsi F, Graefen M, Saad F, Karakiewicz P I

机构信息

Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Canada; Martini-Clinic Prostate Cancer Center, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.

Cancer Prognostics and Health Outcomes Unit, University of Montreal Health Center, Montreal, Canada; Urological Research Institute, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Milan, Italy; Department of Urology, Vita-Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy.

出版信息

Eur J Surg Oncol. 2014 Dec;40(12):1738-45. doi: 10.1016/j.ejso.2014.10.004. Epub 2014 Oct 15.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Existing radical cystectomy (RC) perioperative mortality estimates may underestimate the contemporary rates due to more advanced age, more baseline comorbidities and potentially broader inclusion criteria for RC, relative to past criteria.

METHODS

Within the most recent Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database we identified clinically non-metastatic, muscle-invasive (T2-T4a) urothelial carcinoma of the urinary bladder (UCUB) patients, who underwent RC between 1991 and 2009. Mortality at 30- and 90-day after RC was quantified. Multivariable logistic regression analyses tested predictors of 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

Within 5207 assessable RC patients 30- and 90-day mortality rates were 5.2 and 10.6%, respectively. According to age 65-69, 70-79 and ≥ 80 years, 90-day mortality rates were 6.4, 10.1 and 14.8% (p < 0.001). Additionally, 90-day mortality rates increased with increasing Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI, 0, 1, 2 and ≥ 3): 6.3, 10.3, 12.6 and 15.9% (p < 0.001). 90-day mortality rate in unmarried patients was 13.0 vs. 9.3% in married individuals (p < 0.001). In multivariable logistic regression analyses, advanced age, higher CCI, low socioeconomic status, unmarried status and non organ-confined stage were independent predictors of 90-day mortality (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The contemporary SEER-Medicare derived 90-day mortality rates are substantially higher than previously reported estimates from centers of excellence, and even exceed previous SEER reports. More advanced age, higher CCI score, and other patient characteristics that distinguish the current population from others account for these differences.

摘要

引言

与过去的标准相比,由于年龄更大、基线合并症更多以及根治性膀胱切除术(RC)的纳入标准可能更宽泛,现有的根治性膀胱切除术围手术期死亡率估计可能低估了当代的死亡率。

方法

在最新的监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)-医疗保险数据库中,我们确定了1991年至2009年间接受RC的临床非转移性、肌层浸润性(T2-T4a)膀胱尿路上皮癌(UCUB)患者。对RC后30天和90天的死亡率进行了量化。多变量逻辑回归分析测试了90天死亡率的预测因素。

结果

在5207例可评估的RC患者中,30天和90天死亡率分别为5.2%和10.6%。按年龄65-69岁、70-79岁和≥80岁划分,90天死亡率分别为6.4%、10.1%和14.8%(p<0.001)。此外,90天死亡率随着查尔森合并症指数(CCI,0、1、2和≥3)的增加而增加:6.3%、10.3%、12.6%和15.9%(p<0.001)。未婚患者的90天死亡率为13.0%,而已婚患者为9.3%(p<0.001)。在多变量逻辑回归分析中,高龄、高CCI、低社会经济地位、未婚状态和非器官局限性分期是90天死亡率的独立预测因素(所有p<0.0)。

结论

当代从SEER-医疗保险得出的90天死亡率显著高于先前卓越中心报告的估计值,甚至超过了先前的SEER报告。年龄更大、CCI评分更高以及使当前人群与其他人群区分开来的其他患者特征解释了这些差异。

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