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传统中医可能提高中国农村地区 HIV 感染者的存活率:一项 2004-2012 年的回顾性队列研究

Traditional Chinese medicine could increase the survival of people living with HIV in rural central China: a retrospective cohort study, 2004-2012.

机构信息

National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, P. R. China , Department of AIDS Treatment and Research Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Zhengzhou 45000, P. R. China.

出版信息

Am J Chin Med. 2014;42(6):1333-44. doi: 10.1142/S0192415X14500839.

Abstract

A retrospective cohort study was conducted to explore the effectiveness of Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) in treating people living with HIV (PLHIV) by comparing the survival of PLHIV treated with TCM and without TCM. To identify prognostic factors that affect the survival of PLHIV, patients who enrolled in the national TCM HIV treatment trial program (NTCMTP) in October 2004 and PLHIV in the same region who did not enroll in the NTCMTP were compared. Participants were followed up to October 2012. Survival time was estimated through the Kaplan-Meier method, and hazard ratios to identify prognostic factors were computed through Cox proportional hazard models. A total of 3,229 PLHIV (1,442 in the TCM therapy group and 1,787 in the non-TCM therapy group) were followed up for 21,876 person-years. In this time period, 751 (23.3%) died and 209 (6.5%) were lost to follow-up, for an overall mortality rate of 3.43/100 person-years. In the TCM therapy group, 287 (19.0%) died and 139 (9.7%) were lost to follow-up, and in the non-TCM therapy group, 464 (26.0%) PLHIV died and 70 (3.9%) were lost to follow-up. The mortality rate in the TCM therapy group was 2.97/100 person-years, which was lower than the rate of 3.79/100 person-years in the non-TCM therapy group. The 8-year cumulative survival in the TCM therapy group was 78.5%, lower than the 74.0% survival in the non-TCM therapy group. After adjusting for other factors, risk factors of death included male gender, older age, less education, taking combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) at enrollment, not taking cART at follow-up, and lower CD4 + T cell counts. Our retrospective cohort study indicates that TCM increased the survival and lengthened the lifetime of PLHIV in Henan Province of China. However, the limitations of a retrospective cohort could have biased the study, so prospective studies should be carried out to confirm our primary results.

摘要

一项回顾性队列研究通过比较接受和未接受中医药治疗的 HIV 感染者(PLHIV)的生存情况,来探索中医药治疗 PLHIV 的效果。为了确定影响 PLHIV 生存的预后因素,将参加 2004 年 10 月国家中医药 HIV 治疗试验项目(NTCMTP)的患者与同一地区未参加 NTCMTP 的 PLHIV 进行比较。对参与者进行随访至 2012 年 10 月。通过 Kaplan-Meier 法估计生存时间,并通过 Cox 比例风险模型计算危险比以识别预后因素。共纳入 3229 例 PLHIV(中医药治疗组 1442 例,非中医药治疗组 1787 例),随访 21876 人年。在此期间,751 例(23.3%)死亡,209 例(6.5%)失访,总死亡率为 3.43/100 人年。中医药治疗组死亡 287 例(19.0%),失访 139 例(9.7%),非中医药治疗组死亡 464 例(26.0%),失访 70 例(3.9%)。中医药治疗组死亡率为 2.97/100 人年,低于非中医药治疗组的 3.79/100 人年。中医药治疗组 8 年累积生存率为 78.5%,低于非中医药治疗组的 74.0%。在校正其他因素后,死亡的危险因素包括男性、年龄较大、受教育程度较低、入组时接受联合抗逆转录病毒治疗(cART)、随访时未接受 cART 以及 CD4+T 细胞计数较低。我们的回顾性队列研究表明,中医药提高了中国河南省 PLHIV 的生存率和寿命。然而,回顾性队列研究的局限性可能会使研究产生偏倚,因此应开展前瞻性研究来证实我们的主要结果。

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