Swerdel Joel N, Janevic Teresa M, Cosgrove Nora M, Kostis John B
The Cardiovascular Institute at Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, New Brunswick, NJ (J.N.S., N.M.C., J.B.K.) Department of Epidemiology, Rutgers University School of Public Health, Piscataway, NJ (J.N.S., T.M.J.).
Department of Epidemiology, Rutgers University School of Public Health, Piscataway, NJ (J.N.S., T.M.J.).
J Am Heart Assoc. 2014 Dec 8;3(6):e001354. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.114.001354.
Hurricane Sandy made landfall in New Jersey (NJ) on October 29, 2012. We studied the impact of this extreme weather event on the incidence of, and 30-day mortality from, cardiovascular (CV) events (CVEs), including myocardial infarctions (MI) and strokes, in NJ.
Data were obtained from the MI data acquisition system (MIDAS), a database of all inpatient hospital discharges with CV diagnoses in NJ, including death certificates. Patients were grouped by their county of residence, and each county was categorized as either high- (41.5% of the NJ population) or low-impact area based on data from the Federal Emergency Management Agency and other sources. We utilized Poisson regression comparing the 2 weeks following Sandy landfall with the same weeks from the 5 previous years. In addition, we used CVE data from the 2 weeks previous in each year as to adjust for yearly changes. In the high-impact area, MI incidence increased by 22%, compared to previous years (attributable rate ratio [ARR], 1.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16, 1.28), with a 31% increase in 30-day mortality (ARR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.22, 1.41). The incidence of stroke increased by 7% (ARR, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.03, 1.11), with no significant change in 30-day stroke mortality. There were no changes in incidence or 30-day mortality of MI or stroke in the low-impact area.
In the 2 weeks following Hurricane Sandy, there were increases in the incidence of, and 30-day mortality from, MI and in the incidence of stroke.
2012年10月29日,飓风桑迪在新泽西州登陆。我们研究了这一极端天气事件对新泽西州心血管(CV)事件(包括心肌梗死(MI)和中风)的发病率及30天死亡率的影响。
数据来自心肌梗死数据采集系统(MIDAS),该数据库包含新泽西州所有诊断为CV疾病的住院患者出院记录,包括死亡证明。患者按居住县分组,根据联邦紧急事务管理局和其他来源的数据,每个县被分为高影响地区(占新泽西州人口的41.5%)或低影响地区。我们采用泊松回归,将桑迪登陆后的两周与前五年同期的两周进行比较。此外,我们使用每年前两周的CV事件数据来调整年度变化。在高影响地区,与前几年相比,MI发病率增加了22%(归因率比[ARR],1.22;95%置信区间[CI],1.16,1.28),30天死亡率增加了31%(ARR,1.31;95%CI,1.22,1.41)。中风发病率增加了7%(ARR,1.07;95%CI,1.03,1.11),30天中风死亡率无显著变化。在低影响地区,MI或中风的发病率及30天死亡率均无变化。
在飓风桑迪过后的两周内,MI的发病率、30天死亡率以及中风的发病率均有所增加。