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病前高血压和神经状态在动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血中的预后价值:SAHIT数据库中个体患者数据的汇总分析

Prognostic value of premorbid hypertension and neurological status in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: pooled analyses of individual patient data in the SAHIT repository.

作者信息

Jaja Blessing N R, Lingsma Hester, Schweizer Tom A, Thorpe Kevin E, Steyerberg Ewout W, Macdonald R Loch

机构信息

Division of Neurosurgery and the.

出版信息

J Neurosurg. 2015 Mar;122(3):644-52. doi: 10.3171/2014.10.JNS132694. Epub 2015 Jan 2.

Abstract

OBJECT

The literature has conflicting reports about the prognostic value of premorbid hypertension and neurological status in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of premorbid hypertension and neurological status in the SAH International Trialists repository.

METHODS

Patient-level meta-analyses were conducted to investigate univariate associations between premorbid hypertension (6 studies; n = 7249), admission neurological status measured on the World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) scale (10 studies; n = 10,869), and 3-month Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS) score. Multivariable analyses were performed to sequentially adjust for the effects of age, CT clot burden, aneurysm location, aneurysm size, and modality of aneurysm repair. Prognostic associations were estimated across the ordered categories of the GOS using proportional odds models. Nagelkerke's R(2) statistic was used to quantify the added prognostic value of hypertension and neurological status beyond those of the adjustment factors.

RESULTS

Premorbid hypertension was independently associated with poor outcome, with an unadjusted pooled odds ratio (OR) of 1.73 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.50-2.00) and an adjusted OR of 1.38 (95% CI 1.25-1.53). Patients with a premorbid history of hypertension had higher rates of cardiovascular and renal comorbidities, poorer neurological status (p ≤ 0.001), and higher odds of neurological complications including cerebral infarctions, hydrocephalus, rebleeding, and delayed ischemic neurological deficits. Worsening neurological status was strongly independently associated with poor outcome, including WFNS Grades II (OR 1.85, 95% CI 1.68-2.03), III (OR 3.85, 95% CI 3.32-4.47), IV (OR 5.58, 95% CI 4.91-6.35), and V (OR 14.18, 95% CI 12.20-16.49). Neurological status had substantial added predictive value greater than the combined value of other prognostic factors (R(2) increase > 10%), while the added predictive value of hypertension was marginal (R(2) increase < 0.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirmed the strong prognostic effect of neurological status as measured on the WFNS scale and the independent but weak prognostic effect of premorbid hypertension. The effect of premorbid hypertension could involve multifactorial mechanisms, including an increase in the severity of initial bleeding, the rate of comorbid events, and neurological complications.

摘要

目的

关于病前高血压和神经状态在动脉瘤性蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)中的预后价值,文献报道存在冲突。本研究的目的是在SAH国际试验者数据库中调查病前高血压和神经状态的预后价值。

方法

进行患者水平的荟萃分析,以研究病前高血压(6项研究;n = 7249)、采用世界神经外科联合会(WFNS)量表测量的入院时神经状态(10项研究;n = 10869)与3个月格拉斯哥预后量表(GOS)评分之间的单变量关联。进行多变量分析以依次调整年龄、CT上的血凝块负荷、动脉瘤位置、动脉瘤大小和动脉瘤修复方式的影响。使用比例优势模型估计GOS有序类别中的预后关联。Nagelkerke的R²统计量用于量化高血压和神经状态超出调整因素的额外预后价值。

结果

病前高血压与不良预后独立相关,未调整的合并优势比(OR)为1.73(95%置信区间[CI] 1.50 - 2.00),调整后的OR为1.38(95% CI 1.25 - 1.53)。有病前高血压病史的患者心血管和肾脏合并症发生率更高,神经状态更差(p≤0.001),发生包括脑梗死、脑积水、再出血和迟发性缺血性神经功能缺损等神经并发症的几率更高。神经状态恶化与不良预后密切独立相关,包括WFNSⅡ级(OR 1.85,95% CI 1.68 - 2.03)、Ⅲ级(OR 3.85,95% CI 3.32 - 4.47)、Ⅳ级(OR 5.58,95% CI 4.91 - 6.35)和Ⅴ级(OR 14.18,95% CI 12.20 - 16.49)。神经状态具有显著的额外预测价值,大于其他预后因素的综合价值(R²增加>10%),而高血压的额外预测价值很小(R²增加<0.5%)。

结论

本研究证实了采用WFNS量表测量的神经状态具有很强的预后作用,以及病前高血压具有独立但较弱的预后作用。病前高血压的作用可能涉及多因素机制,包括初始出血严重程度增加、合并事件发生率以及神经并发症。

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