Lavers Carrie J, Dohoo Ian R, McKenna Shawn L B, Keefe Greg P
Department of Health Management, Atlantic Veterinary College, University of Prince Edward Island, Charlottetown, PE C1A 4P3, Canada.
J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2015 Jan 15;246(2):236-44. doi: 10.2460/javma.246.2.236.
To investigate the sensitivity and specificity of results of initial and repeated milk ELISAs (at 6- or 12-month intervals) to detect cows that were shedding Mycobacterium avium subsp paratuberculosis (ie, were infectious) and to evaluate factors influencing the probability that the results of a repeated milk ELISA would be positive for an infectious cow if the results of the initial milk ELISA were negative.
Prospective cohort study.
3,145 dairy cows from 32 herds.
Herds from the 3 Maritime provinces in Canada (Prince Edward Island, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia), participating in a Dairy Herd Improvement program, and that had undergone a prior Mycobacterium avium subsp paratuberculosis awareness project were selected for the study. Sample collection occurred between April 2009 and March 2011 with milk and fecal samples collected from all lactating cows in study herds every 6 months. Herds completing < 3 herd visits with collection of individual cow fecal or milk samples, within this sampling timeframe, were excluded from analyses. Fecal samples were cultured in liquid medium and a cow was defined as infectious if ≥ 1 sample was culture positive (reference test). A milk ELISA (index test) was completed with a commercial kit, following manufacturer's instructions.
For a 6-month test interval, sensitivities of the milk ELISA to detect infectious cows were 22.0% and 32.6% for initial and combined initial and repeated tests (parallel interpretation), respectively. Specificity of the initial ELISA was 99.6% and was 99.2% for combined tests. For a 12-month test interval, sensitivities of the milk ELISA to detect infectious cows were 25.6% and 45.3% for initial and combined initial and repeated tests (parallel interpretation), respectively. Specificity of the initial ELISA was 99.6% and was 98.9% for combined tests. In infectious cows, magnitude of the initial negative ELISA result was a positive predictor for a positive repeated ELISA result.
Results of a repeated milk ELISA improved detection of Mycobacterium avium subsp paratuberculosis infectious cows, with minimal loss of specificity. A 12-month test interval provided a greater increase in sensitivity, relative to an initial test, than did a 6-month interval. Infectious cows with an initial negative milk ELISA result close to the cutoff for a positive test were more likely to have positive results on a repeated ELISA. Repeated testing improved detection of infectious cows and reduced risk of misclassification compared with a single ELISA result.
研究初次及重复进行的牛奶ELISA检测(间隔6个月或12个月)结果对于检测 shedding Mycobacterium avium subsp paratuberculosis(即具有传染性)奶牛的敏感性和特异性,并评估当初次牛奶ELISA检测结果为阴性时,影响重复牛奶ELISA检测结果对传染性奶牛呈阳性概率的因素。
前瞻性队列研究。
来自32个牛群的3145头奶牛。
选择加拿大3个沿海省份(爱德华王子岛、新不伦瑞克和新斯科舍)参与奶牛群改良计划且之前已开展过 avium副结核分枝杆菌认知项目的牛群进行研究。样本采集于2009年4月至2011年3月期间,每隔6个月从研究牛群中的所有泌乳奶牛采集牛奶和粪便样本。在此采样时间范围内,完成少于3次牛群访视且采集个体奶牛粪便或牛奶样本的牛群被排除在分析之外。粪便样本在液体培养基中培养,若≥1份样本培养呈阳性(参考检测),则一头奶牛被定义为具有传染性。按照制造商说明,使用商用试剂盒完成牛奶ELISA(指标检测)。
对于6个月的检测间隔,初次检测及初次与重复检测联合(平行解读)时牛奶ELISA检测传染性奶牛的敏感性分别为22.0%和32.6%。初次ELISA的特异性为99.6%,联合检测的特异性为99.2%。对于12个月的检测间隔,初次检测及初次与重复检测联合(平行解读)时牛奶ELISA检测传染性奶牛的敏感性分别为25.6%和45.3%。初次ELISA的特异性为99.6%,联合检测的特异性为98.9%。在传染性奶牛中,初次ELISA阴性结果的幅度是重复ELISA结果呈阳性的正向预测指标。
重复牛奶ELISA检测结果提高了 avium副结核分枝杆菌传染性奶牛的检测率,且特异性损失最小。相对于6个月的检测间隔,12个月的检测间隔在敏感性方面相对于初次检测有更大提高。初次牛奶ELISA检测结果接近阳性临界值的阴性传染性奶牛在重复ELISA检测中更有可能呈阳性。与单次ELISA检测结果相比,重复检测提高了传染性奶牛的检测率并降低了错误分类的风险。