Rowland Michelle R, Lesnock Jamie L, Farris Coreen, Kelley Joseph L, Krivak Thomas C
Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, Magee-Womens Hospital, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA.
Mid Atlantic Gynecologic Oncology of Mon General Hospital, Morgantown, WV.
Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2015 Jun;212(6):763.e1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2015.01.053. Epub 2015 Jan 31.
Treatment for advanced-stage epithelial ovarian cancer (AEOC) includes primary debulking surgery (PDS) or neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). A randomized controlled trial comparing these treatments resulted in comparable overall survival (OS). Studies report more complications and lower chemotherapy completion rates in patients 65 years old or older receiving PDS. We sought to evaluate the cost implications of NACT relative to PDS in AEOC patients 65 years old or older.
A 5 year Markov model was created. Arm 1 modeled PDS followed by 6 cycles of carboplatin and paclitaxel (CT). Arm 2 modeled 3 cycles of CT, followed by interval debulking surgery and then 3 additional cycles of CT. Parameters included OS, surgical complications, probability of treatment initiation, treatment cost, and quality of life (QOL). OS was assumed to be equal based on the findings of the international randomized control trial. Differences in surgical complexity were accounted for in base surgical cost plus add-on procedure costs weighted by occurrence rates. Hospital cost was a weighted average of diagnosis-related group costs weighted by composite estimates of complication rates. Sensitivity analyses were performed.
Assuming equal survival, NACT produces a cost savings of $5616. If PDS improved median OS by 1.5 months or longer, PDS would be cost effective (CE) at a $100,000/quality-adjusted life-year threshold. If PDS improved OS by 3.2 months or longer, it would be CE at a $50,000 threshold. The model was robust to variation in costs and complication rates. Moderate decreases in the QOL with NACT would result in PDS being CE.
A model based on the RCT comparing NACT and PDS showed NACT is a cost-saving treatment compared with PDS for AEOC in patients 65 years old or older. Small increases in OS with PDS or moderate declines in QOL with NACT would result in PDS being CE at the $100,000/quality-adjusted life-year threshold. Our results support further evaluation of the effects of PDS on OS, QOL and complications in AEOC patients 65 years old or older.
晚期上皮性卵巢癌(AEOC)的治疗包括初次肿瘤细胞减灭术(PDS)或新辅助化疗(NACT)。一项比较这两种治疗方法的随机对照试验结果显示,总体生存率(OS)相当。研究报告称,65岁及以上接受PDS治疗的患者并发症更多,化疗完成率更低。我们试图评估NACT相对于PDS对65岁及以上AEOC患者的成本影响。
创建了一个5年马尔可夫模型。方案1模拟PDS,随后进行6个周期的卡铂和紫杉醇化疗(CT)。方案2模拟3个周期的CT,随后进行中间肿瘤细胞减灭术,然后再进行3个周期的CT。参数包括OS、手术并发症、治疗开始概率、治疗成本和生活质量(QOL)。根据国际随机对照试验的结果,假设OS相等。手术复杂性的差异在基础手术成本加上按发生率加权的附加手术成本中予以考虑。医院成本是按并发症率综合估计加权的诊断相关组成本的加权平均值。进行了敏感性分析。
假设生存率相等,NACT可节省成本5616美元。如果PDS使中位OS提高1.5个月或更长时间,在每质量调整生命年100,000美元的阈值下,PDS将具有成本效益(CE)。如果PDS使OS提高3.2个月或更长时间,在50,000美元的阈值下它将具有CE。该模型对成本和并发症率的变化具有稳健性。NACT使QOL适度下降将导致PDS具有CE。
基于比较NACT和PDS的随机对照试验的模型显示,对于65岁及以上的AEOC患者,与PDS相比,NACT是一种节省成本的治疗方法。PDS使OS略有增加或NACT使QOL适度下降将导致在每质量调整生命年100,000美元的阈值下PDS具有CE。我们的结果支持进一步评估PDS对65岁及以上AEOC患者的OS、QOL和并发症的影响。