Zhang Chi, Ke Weixia, Gao Yanhui, Zhou Shudong, Liu Li, Ye Xiaohua, Yao Zhenjiang, Yang Yi
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics and Guangdong Key Lab of Molecular Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, 510310, Guangdong, China.
Clin Drug Investig. 2015 Mar;35(3):197-209. doi: 10.1007/s40261-015-0273-y.
Several antiviral therapies are now available for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but the most cost-effective strategy for Chinese patients is unclear. The aim of this study was to estimate the long-term cost effectiveness of the antiviral treatments (lamivudine, adefovir, telbivudine and entecavir) for hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive CHB patients in China.
A Markov model was used to simulate the life-time (41-year time span) costs and effectiveness associated with antiviral treatments from the perspective of Chinese healthcare. Relative model parameters were derived from Chinese population studies. Costs and effectiveness were discounted at 5 %. The highest retail prices for generic and branded drug prices were also considered. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis and one-way sensitivity analysis were used to explore model uncertainties.
In the base-case analysis, the least quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were obtained with adefovir as the reference strategy. Lamivudine generated the highest incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), with an additional US$35,000 needed to gain one additional QALY for generic drugs and US$36,000 for branded drugs. Entecavir had the lowest ICER of US$7,600 and US$9,100, respectively. The projected 10-year cumulative incidences of compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality for entecavir were lower than the other strategies. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, entecavir was the preferred option at a threshold of US$18,924 per QALY.
In patients with HBeAg-positive CHB in China, entecavir is a cost-effective option compared with other therapies for CHB.
目前有多种抗病毒疗法可用于慢性乙型肝炎(CHB)患者,但对于中国患者而言,最具成本效益的策略尚不清楚。本研究旨在评估抗病毒治疗(拉米夫定、阿德福韦、替比夫定和恩替卡韦)对中国乙肝e抗原(HBeAg)阳性CHB患者的长期成本效益。
采用马尔可夫模型,从中国医疗保健的角度模拟与抗病毒治疗相关的终身(41年时间跨度)成本和效果。相关模型参数来自中国人群研究。成本和效果按5%进行贴现。同时考虑了仿制药和品牌药的最高零售价。采用概率敏感性分析和单向敏感性分析来探讨模型的不确定性。
在基础病例分析中,以阿德福韦作为参考策略获得的质量调整生命年(QALY)最少。拉米夫定产生的增量成本效益比(ICER)最高,仿制药每增加一个QALY需要额外35,000美元,品牌药则需要3,6000美元。恩替卡韦的ICER最低,分别为7,600美元和9,100美元。恩替卡韦预计的10年代偿性肝硬化、失代偿性肝硬化、肝细胞癌(HCC)累积发病率和死亡率均低于其他策略。在概率敏感性分析中,在每QALY 18,924美元的阈值下,恩替卡韦是首选方案。
在中国HBeAg阳性CHB患者中,与其他CHB治疗方法相比,恩替卡韦是一种具有成本效益的选择。