Department of Economics and Geography, Coggin College of Business, University of North Florida, 1 UNF Drive, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USA.
Soc Sci Med. 2015 May;132:173-80. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2015.03.036. Epub 2015 Mar 17.
There has been a growing interest in better understanding the trends and determinants of health tourism activities. While much of the expanding literature on health tourism offers theoretical or qualitative discussion, empirical evidences has been lacking. This study employs Canada's outbound health tourism activities as an example to examine the trends in health tourism and its association with changing domestic health care market characteristics. A time-series model that accounts for potential structural changes in the trend is employed to analyze the quarterly health-related travel spending series reported in the Balance of Payments Statistics (BOPS) during 1970-2010 (n = 156). We identified a structural shift point which marks the start of an accelerated growth of health tourism and a flattened seasonality in such activities. We found that the health tourism activities of Canadian consumers increase when the private investment in medical facilities declines or when the private MPI increases during the years following the structural-change. We discussed the possible linkage of the structural shift to the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), which went into effect in January, 1995.
人们越来越关注更好地了解健康旅游活动的趋势和决定因素。虽然健康旅游的不断扩大的文献提供了理论或定性讨论,但缺乏经验证据。本研究以加拿大的出境健康旅游活动为例,考察了健康旅游的趋势及其与国内医疗保健市场特征变化的关系。本文采用时间序列模型,考虑到趋势中的潜在结构变化,分析了 1970 年至 2010 年间《国际收支统计》(BOPS)中报告的每季度与健康相关的旅游支出系列(n=156)。我们确定了一个结构转变点,标志着健康旅游活动的加速增长和这种活动季节性的减弱。我们发现,当医疗设施的私人投资减少或私人 MPI 在结构变化后的年份增加时,加拿大消费者的健康旅游活动会增加。我们讨论了结构转变与 1995 年 1 月生效的《服务贸易总协定》(GATS)之间可能存在的联系。
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