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捕获-再捕获方法与家畜疾病监测:综述

Capture-recapture approaches and the surveillance of livestock diseases: A review.

作者信息

Vergne Timothée, Del Rio Vilas Victor J, Cameron Angus, Dufour Barbara, Grosbois Vladimir

机构信息

Animal et Gestion Intégrée des Risques (AGIRs), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Dévelopement (CIRAD), Montpellier, France; Laboratoire de Santé Animale, Agence nationale de sécurité sanitaire de l'alimentation, de l'environnement et du travail (ANSES), Maisons-Alfort, France; Veterinary Epidemiology Economics and Public Health Group, Royal Veterinary College, London, United Kingdom.

Pan American Health Organization, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2015 Jul 1;120(3-4):253-64. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2015.04.003. Epub 2015 Apr 27.

Abstract

In disease surveillance, capture-recapture approaches have been used to estimate the frequency of endemic diseases monitored by imperfect surveillance systems. A standard output of these techniques is an estimate of the sensitivity of the surveillance. In addition, capture-recapture applications contribute to a better understanding of the disease detection processes and of the relationships between different surveillance data sources, and help identify variables associated with the under-detection of diseases. Although capture-recapture approaches have long been used in public health, their application to livestock disease surveillance is only recent. In this paper, we review the different capture-recapture approaches applied in livestock disease surveillance, and discuss their benefits and limitations in the light of the characteristics of the surveillance and control practices used in animal health.

摘要

在疾病监测中,捕获再捕获方法已被用于估计由不完善监测系统监测的地方病的发病频率。这些技术的一个标准输出是监测灵敏度的估计值。此外,捕获再捕获方法有助于更好地理解疾病检测过程以及不同监测数据源之间的关系,并有助于识别与疾病漏报相关的变量。尽管捕获再捕获方法长期以来一直在公共卫生领域使用,但它们在牲畜疾病监测中的应用却是最近才开始的。在本文中,我们回顾了应用于牲畜疾病监测的不同捕获再捕获方法,并根据动物卫生监测和控制实践的特点讨论了它们的优点和局限性。

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