Stock Nina Katharina, Maly Marek, Sebestova Helena, Orlikova Hana, Kozakova Jana, Krizova Pavla
National Institute of Public Health (NIPH), Prague, Czech Republic; European Program for Public Health Microbiology (EUPHEM), ECDC, Stockholm, Sweden.
National Institute of Public Health (NIPH), Prague, Czech Republic.
PLoS One. 2015 Jun 30;10(6):e0131117. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0131117. eCollection 2015.
Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) is caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae and mostly presents as pneumonia, sepsis or meningitis. A notable portion of IPD cases is vaccine preventable and the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) was introduced into the routine childhood immunization programs in many countries during the last decades.
Before PCV introduction in the Czech Republic in 2010, a national surveillance system for IPD was implemented in 2008 and further improved in 2011. In this study, we describe the new surveillance system for the first time and measure its sensitivity between 2010 and 2013 using the capture-recapture method. Furthermore, we describe the recent epidemiological trend of IPD, taking sensitivity estimates into account.
Between 2010 and 2013 the estimated sensitivity of the overall IPD surveillance increased from 81% to 99%. The sensitivity of individual reporting sources increased from 72% to 87% for the laboratory system and from 31% to 89% for the epidemiological notification system. Crucial for this improvement was the introduction of quarterly report reminders in 2011. Due to positive source dependency, the presented sensitivity estimates are most probably overestimated and reflect the upper limit of reporting completeness. Stratification showed variation in sensitivity of reporting particularly according to region. An effect of the PVC vaccination in the Czech Republic is visible in the incidence of IPD in target age groups (<5 y). This influence was not evident in the total IPD incidence and may interfere with increasing sensitivity of reporting. In 2013, an increase in the IPD incidence was observed. This finding requires further observation and a detailed vaccine impact analysis is needed to assess the current immunization strategy.
侵袭性肺炎球菌疾病(IPD)由肺炎链球菌引起,主要表现为肺炎、败血症或脑膜炎。相当一部分IPD病例是可通过疫苗预防的,在过去几十年中,许多国家已将肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV)纳入常规儿童免疫规划。
在2010年PCV引入捷克共和国之前,2008年实施了IPD国家监测系统,并于2011年进一步完善。在本研究中,我们首次描述了新的监测系统,并使用捕获-再捕获方法测量了2010年至2013年期间其敏感性。此外,我们在考虑敏感性估计的情况下,描述了IPD的近期流行病学趋势。
2010年至2013年期间,IPD总体监测的估计敏感性从81%提高到99%。实验室系统的个体报告来源敏感性从72%提高到87%,流行病学通报系统从31%提高到89%。这一改进的关键是2011年引入了季度报告提醒。由于存在正向来源依赖性,所呈现的敏感性估计很可能被高估,反映了报告完整性的上限。分层显示报告敏感性存在差异,尤其是按地区划分。捷克共和国PCV疫苗接种的效果在目标年龄组(<5岁)的IPD发病率中可见。这种影响在IPD总发病率中不明显,可能会干扰报告敏感性的提高。2013年,观察到IPD发病率有所上升。这一发现需要进一步观察,并且需要进行详细的疫苗影响分析以评估当前的免疫策略。