Infectious Diseases Division, Rhode Island Hospital Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island Internal Medicine Department, Boston Medical Center, Massachusetts.
Infectious Diseases Division, Rhode Island Hospital Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.
Clin Infect Dis. 2015 Oct 15;61(8):1263-72. doi: 10.1093/cid/civ555. Epub 2015 Jul 8.
Screening of high-risk patients for invasive aspergillosis (IA) has the potential to decrease the use of empiric antifungal agents. However, the performance of different screening methods has not been studied.
We performed a meta-analysis of published studies to assess the diagnostic performance of galactomannan (GM) and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) as weekly screening tests in high-risk populations. The sensitivity and specificity of 6 approaches combining GM and PCR were estimated using the bivariate model.
Thirteen studies with 1670 patients met our inclusion criteria. Single positive test results had modest sensitivity and specificity for screening (respectively, 92% and 90% for GM; 84% and 76% for PCR). The screening approach with the highest sensitivity was the one that used at least 1 GM- or PCR-positive result to define a positive episode, achieving a sensitivity of 99%, significantly higher than any single test (P = .0018 compared with GM and P < .0001 compared with PCR). Meanwhile, when both GM and PCR were positive for the same patient, the specificity increased to 98%, which was not significantly different compared to the specificity of at least 2 positive GM (95%, P = .56 for the comparison) or PCR results (93%, P = .07 for the comparison).
When screening high-risk patients for IA with GM and PCR tests, the absence of any positive test can obviate the need for antifungal agents with a negative predictive value of 100%, whereas the presence of at least 2 positive results is highly suggestive of an active infection with a positive predictive value of 88%.
对侵袭性曲霉病(IA)高危患者进行筛查可能会减少经验性抗真菌药物的使用。然而,不同筛查方法的性能尚未得到研究。
我们对已发表的研究进行了荟萃分析,以评估半乳甘露聚糖(GM)和聚合酶链反应(PCR)作为高危人群每周筛查试验的诊断性能。使用双变量模型估计了 6 种结合 GM 和 PCR 的方法的敏感性和特异性。
符合纳入标准的 13 项研究共纳入了 1670 例患者。单次阳性检测结果对筛查的敏感性和特异性均适中(GM 分别为 92%和 90%;PCR 分别为 84%和 76%)。使用至少 1 个 GM 或 PCR 阳性结果来定义阳性发作的筛查方法具有最高的敏感性,其敏感性为 99%,显著高于任何单项检测(与 GM 相比,P =.0018;与 PCR 相比,P <.0001)。同时,当同一患者 GM 和 PCR 均为阳性时,特异性提高至 98%,与至少 2 个 GM 阳性(95%,P =.56 比较)或 PCR 结果(93%,P =.07 比较)的特异性无显著差异。
在使用 GM 和 PCR 检测对 IA 高危患者进行筛查时,任何检测均为阴性可排除使用抗真菌药物的必要性,阴性预测值为 100%;而至少 2 个检测结果阳性强烈提示存在活动性感染,阳性预测值为 88%。