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使用期刊影响因子预测心理学科学影响力的后果。

The Consequences of Predicting Scientific Impact in Psychology Using Journal Impact Factors.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Surrey

Department of Psychology, University of Surrey.

出版信息

Perspect Psychol Sci. 2012 Jan;7(1):72-8. doi: 10.1177/1745691611429356. Epub 2012 Jan 5.


DOI:10.1177/1745691611429356
PMID:26168426
Abstract

An academic journal's impact factor (hereafter JIF) is an average measure of the citation count of individual articles published in that journal. JIF is used to assess merit, predict impact, and allocate resources, but the actual number of citations to individual articles is only modestly correlated with the JIFs of the journals in which they are published. We counted PsycInfo citations to 1,133 articles published in nine leading psychology journals (1996-2005). Both article length (r =.31) and reference list length (r = .41) predicted log-transformed citation counts better than JIF (r = .27). Articles with fewer graphs and more structural equation models were more frequently cited. Citation count was better predicted by a model based on article length and citation count rather than JIF. When JIF was used to predict citation count, the impact of women authors and social science research was underestimated. These findings distinguish impact in science, as measured by JIF, from actual impact in psychology, and they show the unintended consequences of using a measure of the former to predict the latter.

摘要

学术期刊的影响因子(以下简称 JIF)是衡量该期刊发表的单篇文章被引次数的平均指标。JIF 用于评估绩效、预测影响力和分配资源,但个别文章的实际被引次数与它们所发表的期刊 JIF 之间只有适度的相关性。我们统计了 1996 年至 2005 年在九种主要心理学期刊上发表的 1133 篇文章在 PsycInfo 上的被引次数。文章长度(r =.31)和参考文献列表长度(r =.41)对对数转换后的被引次数的预测均优于 JIF(r =.27)。图表较少且结构方程模型较多的文章被引用的频率更高。基于文章长度和被引次数的模型比 JIF 更能准确预测被引次数。当使用 JIF 来预测被引次数时,低估了女性作者和社会科学研究的影响力。这些发现将 JIF 衡量的科学影响力与心理学实际影响力区分开来,并展示了使用前者来预测后者的衡量标准所带来的意想不到的后果。

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[3]
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[4]
Predictors of Citation Rate in Psychology: Inconclusive Influence of Effect and Sample Size.

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[5]
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[7]
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