McEwen Tom, Regoeczi Wendy
McEwen & Associates, LLC, 710 Duke Street, Alexandria, VA.
Department of Sociology and Criminology, Cleveland State University, 2121 Euclid Avenue, Cleveland, OH.
J Forensic Sci. 2015 Sep;60(5):1188-98. doi: 10.1111/1556-4029.12787. Epub 2015 Jul 14.
Even though forensic evidence is collected at virtually every homicide scene, only a few studies have examined its role in investigation and prosecution. This article adds to the literature by providing the results of a study of 294 homicide cases (315 victims) occurring in Cleveland, Ohio, between 2008 and 2011. Through a logistic regression on open versus closed cases, the collection of knives, administration of gunshot residue (GSR) kits, and clothing at the scene were positively and significantly related to case closures, while collection of ballistics evidence and DNA evidence were statistically significant in the opposite direction. With regard to analysis, the clearance rate for cases with probative results (i.e., matches or exclusions) was 63.1% compared to a closure rate of 56.3% for cases without probative results. However, only 23 cases had probative results prior to arrest compared to 128 cases with probative results after arrest.
尽管几乎在每一个凶杀案现场都会收集法医证据,但只有少数研究探讨了其在调查和起诉中的作用。本文通过提供对2008年至2011年间发生在俄亥俄州克利夫兰的294起凶杀案(315名受害者)的研究结果,丰富了相关文献。通过对已结案和未结案案件进行逻辑回归分析,发现现场刀具的收集、枪击残留物(GSR)检测试剂盒的使用以及衣物的收集与案件结案呈正相关且具有显著意义,而弹道证据和DNA证据的收集在统计上则呈相反方向的显著意义。在分析方面,有 probative结果(即匹配或排除)的案件结案率为63.1%,而没有probative结果的案件结案率为56.3%。然而,只有23起案件在逮捕前有probative结果,相比之下,有128起案件在逮捕后有probative结果。