Tian Zhan, Niu Yi-long, Sun Lai-xiang, Li Chang-sheng, Liu Chun-jiang, Fan Dong-li
Ying Yong Sheng Tai Xue Bao. 2015 Mar;26(3):793-9.
In contrast to a large body of literature assessing the impact of agriculture greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions on climate change, there is a lack of research examining the impact of climate change on agricultural GHG emissions. This study employed the DNDC v9.5, a state-of-art biogeochemical model, to simulate greenhouse gas emissions in China' s rice-growing fields during 1971-2010. The results showed that owing to temperature rising (on average 0.49 °C higher in the second 20 years than in the first 20 year) and precipitation increase (11 mm more in the second 20 years than in the first 20 years) during the rice growing season, CH4 and N2O emissions in paddy field increased by 0.25 kg C . hm-2 and 0.25 kg N . hm-2, respectively. The rising temperature accelerated CH4 emission and N2O emission increased with precipitation. These results indicated that climate change exerted impact on the mechanism of GHG emissions in paddy field.
与大量评估农业温室气体(GHG)排放对气候变化影响的文献形成对比的是,缺乏关于气候变化对农业温室气体排放影响的研究。本研究采用先进的生物地球化学模型DNDC v9.5,模拟了1971 - 2010年中国稻田的温室气体排放。结果表明,由于水稻生长季节温度升高(后20年平均比前20年高0.49°C)和降水量增加(后20年比前20年多11毫米),稻田CH4和N2O排放量分别增加了0.25 kg C·hm-2和0.25 kg N·hm-2。温度升高加速了CH4排放,N2O排放随降水量增加而增加。这些结果表明,气候变化对稻田温室气体排放机制产生了影响。