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欧洲癌症生存率研究(EUROCARE-5):1999 - 2007年欧洲癌症生存情况:数据库、质量核查及统计分析方法

The EUROCARE-5 study on cancer survival in Europe 1999-2007: Database, quality checks and statistical analysis methods.

作者信息

Rossi Silvia, Baili Paolo, Capocaccia Riccardo, Caldora Massimiliano, Carrani Eugenio, Minicozzi Pamela, Pierannunzio Daniela, Santaquilani Mariano, Trama Annalisa, Allemani Claudia, Belot Aurelien, Buzzoni Carlotta, Lorez Matthias, De Angelis Roberta

机构信息

Centro Nazionale di Epidemiologia, Sorveglianza e Promozione della Salute, Istituto Superiore di Sanità, viale Regina Elena 299, 00161 Rome, Italy.

Department of Preventive and Predictive Medicine, Analytical Epidemiology and Health Impact Unit, Fondazione IRCCS, Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, via Venezian 1, 20133 Milan, Italy.

出版信息

Eur J Cancer. 2015 Oct;51(15):2104-2119. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2015.08.001. Epub 2015 Sep 26.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Since 25years the EUROCARE study monitors the survival of cancer patients in Europe through centralised collection, quality check and statistical analysis of population-based cancer registries (CRs) data. The European population covered by the study increased remarkably in the latest round. The study design and statistical methods were also changed to improve timeliness and comparability of survival estimates. To interpret the EUROCARE-5 results on adult cancer patients better here we assess the impact of these changes on data quality and on survival comparisons.

METHODS

In EUROCARE-5 the survival differences by area were studied applying the complete cohort approach to data on nearly nine million cancer patients diagnosed in 2000-2007 and followed up to 2008. Survival time trends were analysed applying the period approach to data on about 10 million cancer cases diagnosed from 1995 to 2007 and followed up to 2008. Differently from EUROCARE-4, multiple primary cancers were included and relative survival was estimated with the Ederer II method.

RESULTS

EUROCARE-5 covered a population of 232 million resident persons, corresponding to 50% of the 29 participating countries. The population coverage increased particularly in Eastern Europe. Cases identified from death certificate only (DCO) were on average 2.9%, range 0-12%. Microscopically confirmed cases amounted to over 85% in most CRs. Compared to previous methods, including multiple cancers and using the Ederer II estimator reduced survival estimates by 0.4 and 0.3 absolute percentage points, on average.

CONCLUSIONS

The increased population size and registration coverage of the EUROCARE-5 study ensures more robust and comparable estimates across European countries. This enlargement did not impact on data quality, which was generally satisfactory. Estimates may be slightly inflated in countries with high or null DCO proportions, especially for poor prognosis cancers. The updated methods improved the comparability of survival estimates between recently and long-term established registries and reduced biases due to informative censoring.

摘要

背景

25年来,EUROCARE研究通过对基于人群的癌症登记处(CRs)数据进行集中收集、质量检查和统计分析,来监测欧洲癌症患者的生存情况。在最近一轮研究中,该研究覆盖的欧洲人口显著增加。研究设计和统计方法也有所改变,以提高生存估计的及时性和可比性。为了更好地解读EUROCARE - 5关于成年癌症患者的结果,我们在此评估这些变化对数据质量和生存比较的影响。

方法

在EUROCARE - 5中,采用完整队列法对2000 - 2007年诊断出的近900万癌症患者的数据进行研究,这些患者随访至2008年,以分析地区间的生存差异。采用时期法对1995年至2007年诊断出的约1000万癌症病例的数据进行分析,这些病例随访至2008年,以分析生存时间趋势。与EUROCARE - 4不同,EUROCARE - 5纳入了多原发性癌症,并采用埃德勒二世方法估计相对生存率。

结果

EUROCARE - 5覆盖了2.32亿常住人口,占29个参与国人口的50%。人口覆盖范围在东欧尤其增加。仅通过死亡证明确定的病例平均占2.9%,范围为0 - 12%。在大多数癌症登记处,显微镜确诊的病例超过85%。与以前的方法相比,纳入多种癌症并使用埃德勒二世估计器平均使生存估计降低了0.4和0.3个绝对百分点。

结论

EUROCARE - 5研究中增加的人口规模和登记覆盖范围确保了欧洲各国之间更可靠和可比的估计。这种扩大并未影响数据质量,数据质量总体令人满意。在死亡证明比例高或为零的国家,估计值可能会略有夸大,尤其是对于预后不良的癌症。更新后的方法提高了近期建立的登记处和长期建立的登记处之间生存估计的可比性,并减少了因信息性删失导致的偏差。

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