Hussain Maha, Tangen Catherine, Higano Celestia, Vogelzang Nicholas, Thompson Ian
Maha Hussain, University of Michigan Comprehensive Cancer Center, Ann Arbor, MI; Catherine Tangen, SWOG Statistical Center; Celestia Higano, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; Nicholas Vogelzang, US Oncology, Las Vegas, NV; and Ian Thompson, University of Texas Health Science Center, San Antonio, TX.
J Clin Oncol. 2016 Jan 20;34(3):280-5. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2015.62.8065. Epub 2015 Nov 9.
PURPOSE: Intermittent androgen deprivation (IAD) has been widely tested in prostate cancer. However, phase III trials testing continuous androgen deprivation (CAD) versus IAD have reached inconclusive and seemingly contradictory results. Different design and conduct issues must be critically evaluated to better interpret the results. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Seven published phase III trials were examined for prespecified design and outcomes. Treatment specifications; primary end point; superiority versus noninferiority design assumptions, including magnitude of assumed versus observed noninferiority margin (NIM); duration of follow-up; and quality-of-life (QOL) outcomes were considered in terms of the results and conclusions reported. RESULTS: Five trials had a superiority and three had a noninferiority primary hypothesis. Only three trials had a uniform population and overall survival (OS) end point. All trials observed better outcomes in terms of OS and progression-free survival (PFS) than assumed at time of study design, translating into prespecified NIMs or hazard ratios that reflected larger absolute differences in OS or PFS between arms. Lower-than-expected event rates also reduced statistical power for the trials. Other factors, including length of follow-up, cause of death, QOL, and primary end point, and their impact on trial interpretation are discussed. CONCLUSION: No trial to date has demonstrated survival superiority of IAD compared with CAD. Trials concluding IAD is noninferior to CAD were based on wide NIMs that included clinically important survival differences, not likely to be considered comparable by physicians or patients. Interim analyses relying on short follow-up and including a majority of non-prostate cancer deaths will favor a noninferiority conclusion and should be interpreted cautiously. Adequate follow-up is required to ensure capture of prostate cancer deaths in both superiority and noninferiority trials.
目的:间歇性雄激素剥夺(IAD)已在前列腺癌中得到广泛测试。然而,比较持续雄激素剥夺(CAD)与IAD的III期试验得出了不确定且看似矛盾的结果。必须对不同的设计和实施问题进行严格评估,以更好地解释结果。 患者与方法:对七项已发表的III期试验进行了预定义设计和结果检查。根据报告的结果和结论,考虑了治疗规范、主要终点、优效性与非劣效性设计假设,包括假定与观察到的非劣效性界值(NIM)的大小、随访持续时间以及生活质量(QOL)结果。 结果:五项试验有优效性原假设,三项有非劣效性原假设。只有三项试验有统一的研究人群和总生存(OS)终点。所有试验观察到的OS和无进展生存(PFS)结果均优于研究设计时的假设,转化为预定义的NIM或风险比,反映了两组在OS或PFS上更大的绝对差异。低于预期的事件发生率也降低了试验的统计效能。还讨论了其他因素,包括随访时间、死亡原因、QOL和主要终点及其对试验解释的影响。 结论:迄今为止,尚无试验证明IAD与CAD相比具有生存优效性。得出IAD不劣于CAD的试验基于宽泛的NIM,其中包括临床上重要的生存差异,医生或患者不太可能认为两者具有可比性。依赖短期随访且包含大多数非前列腺癌死亡病例的期中分析将倾向于得出非劣效性结论,对此应谨慎解释。在优效性和非劣效性试验中都需要足够的随访时间,以确保捕捉到前列腺癌死亡病例。
J Clin Oncol. 2016-1-20
Ann Oncol. 2023-10
Transl Androl Urol. 2022-12
Cancers (Basel). 2019-9-12
Curr Opin Oncol. 2016-5
N Engl J Med. 2015-8-20
Lancet Oncol. 2015-4
Nat Rev Clin Oncol. 2013-6
N Engl J Med. 2013-4-4
N Engl J Med. 2012-9-6