Hopper L D, Oehme F W
Department of Pathology, Kansas State University, Manhattan 66506.
Vet Hum Toxicol. 1989 Dec;31(6):543-54.
People are exposed to a staggering assortment of chemicals and foreign substances. Potential health risks accompany these exposures. Intelligent, informed decisions are needed on which risks can and should be reduced, eliminated, or simply ignored. Therefore, a method of determining the attendant human health risks involved in chemical exposure is necessary. This need has resulted in the evolution of the risk assessment process which was developed to aid in identifying, characterizing and quantifying risks. Risk assessment today is an essential component of regulatory decision-making. In the context of chemical exposure, risk assessment is an evaluation of the risk in human exposure to chemicals in the environment. Quantitative risk assessment (QRA) is the use of experimental laboratory data and/or human epidemiological data in a process to derive a quantitative value for the estimate of the probability of harm occurring to exposed human populations. It is a sophisticated process involving an array of techniques that can be used to identify potential risks to human health. There are 4 components involved in the formalized risk assessment process--hazard identification, toxicity assessment, exposure assessment and risk characterization. These 4 steps collectively address each of 6 key areas identified as essential in characterizing a risk situation involving a chemical exposure. The process of risk estimation involves uncertainties because there are always gaps in knowledge or a lack in understanding mechanisms. These crucial gaps in knowledge are filled when extrapolations, models or assumptions are used. The uncertainties inherent in the risk assessment process are the basis of arguments against the use of the process. Many of these sources of uncertainty inherent in the risk assessment process are examined herein. These include, but are not limited to, modeling methods, understanding mechanisms and pharmacodynamics, exposure data, assumptions and extrapolations. Some new techniques and approaches being applied to the risk assessment process are examined. These include improved models for extrapolating data and quantifying risks, improved laboratory techniques for investigating pharmacodynamic and mechanistic pathways and advancements in quality and application of epidemiological data. The actual concept of uncertainty is being examined and attempts are being made to directly address, quantify and manage uncertainty.
人们接触到种类繁多、数量惊人的化学物质和外来物质。这些接触伴随着潜在的健康风险。对于哪些风险能够且应该降低、消除或干脆忽略,需要做出明智、有见识的决策。因此,有必要采用一种方法来确定化学物质接触所涉及的人类健康风险。这种需求推动了风险评估过程的发展,该过程旨在帮助识别、描述和量化风险。如今,风险评估是监管决策的重要组成部分。在化学物质接触的背景下,风险评估是对人类接触环境中化学物质的风险进行评估。定量风险评估(QRA)是在一个过程中使用实验实验室数据和/或人类流行病学数据,以得出一个定量值,用于估计接触化学物质的人群发生伤害的概率。这是一个复杂的过程,涉及一系列可用于识别对人类健康潜在风险的技术。正式的风险评估过程包括四个组成部分——危害识别、毒性评估、接触评估和风险表征。这四个步骤共同解决了被确定为描述涉及化学物质接触的风险情况时必不可少的六个关键领域中的每一个领域。风险估计过程存在不确定性,因为知识总是存在空白或对机制缺乏理解。当使用外推法、模型或假设时,这些关键的知识空白就会被填补。风险评估过程中固有的不确定性是反对使用该过程的论据的基础。本文研究了风险评估过程中许多这些固有的不确定性来源。这些包括但不限于建模方法、对机制和药效学的理解、接触数据、假设和外推法。研究了一些应用于风险评估过程的新技术和方法。这些包括用于数据外推和风险量化的改进模型、用于研究药效学和作用机制途径的改进实验室技术,以及流行病学数据质量和应用方面的进展。正在研究不确定性的实际概念,并尝试直接处理、量化和管理不确定性。