Kim Geena, Ban Gil-Ho, Lee Hyoung-Doo, Sung Si-Chan, Kim Hyungtae, Choi Kwang-Ho
Heart Center,Pusan National University Children's Hospital,Yangsan,Republic of Korea.
Cardiol Young. 2017 Apr;27(3):443-451. doi: 10.1017/S1047951116000706. Epub 2016 May 26.
In this study, we sought predictors of mortality in children with acute myocarditis and of incomplete recovery in the survivor group. We classified our patients into three groups according to their outcomes at last follow-up: full recovery was classified as group I, incomplete recovery was classified as group II, and death was classified as group III. In total, 55 patients were enrolled in the study: 33 patients in group I, 11 patients in group II, and 11 patients in group III. The initial left ventricular fractional shortening - left ventricular fractional shortening - was significantly lower in group III (p=0.001), and the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension z score was higher in groups II and III compared with group I (p=0.000). A multivariate analysis showed that the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension z score (odds ratio (OR), 1.251; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.004-1.559), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (OR, 9.842; 95% CI, 1.044-92.764), and epinephrine infusion (OR, 18.552; 95% CI, 1.759-195.705) were significant predictors of mortality. The left ventricular end-diastolic dimension z score was the only factor that predicted incomplete recovery in the survivor group (OR, 1.360; 95% CI, 1.066-1.734; p=0.013). The receiver operating characteristic curve of the left ventricular end-diastolic dimension z score at admission showed a cut-off level of 3.01 for predicting mortality (95% CI, 0.714-0.948). In conclusion, a high left ventricular end-diastolic dimension z score on admission was a significant predictor of worse outcomes, both regarding mortality and incomplete recovery.
在本研究中,我们探寻急性心肌炎患儿的死亡率预测因素以及存活组患儿未完全康复的预测因素。根据患者末次随访时的结局,我们将其分为三组:完全康复归为I组,未完全康复归为II组,死亡归为III组。本研究共纳入55例患者:I组33例,II组11例,III组11例。III组患者最初的左心室缩短分数显著更低(p = 0.001),与I组相比,II组和III组的左心室舒张末期内径z评分更高(p = 0.000)。多因素分析显示,左心室舒张末期内径z评分(比值比(OR),1.251;95%置信区间(CI),1.004 - 1.559)、体外膜肺氧合(OR,9.842;95% CI,1.044 - 92.764)以及肾上腺素输注(OR,18.552;95% CI,1.759 - 195.705)是死亡率的显著预测因素。左心室舒张末期内径z评分是存活组中预测未完全康复的唯一因素(OR,1.360;95% CI,1.066 - 1.734;p = 0.013)。入院时左心室舒张末期内径z评分的受试者工作特征曲线显示,预测死亡率的截断水平为3.01(95% CI,0.714 - 0.948)。总之,入院时较高的左心室舒张末期内径z评分是死亡率和未完全康复等不良结局的显著预测因素。