Caravaca Francisco, Chávez Edgar, Alvarado Raúl, García-Pino Guadalupe, Luna Enrique
Departamento de Nefrología, Hospital Infanta Cristina, Badajoz, España.
Departamento de Nefrología, Hospital Infanta Cristina, Badajoz, España.
Nefrologia. 2016 Jul-Aug;36(4):404-9. doi: 10.1016/j.nefro.2016.05.001. Epub 2016 Jun 3.
A relatively high proportion of deaths in dialysis patients occur suddenly and unexpectedly. The incidence of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in non-dialysis advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages has been less well investigated.
This study aims to determine the incidence and predictors of SCD in a cohort of 1078 patients with CKD not yet on dialysis.
Prospective observational cohort study, which included patients with advanced CKD not yet on dialysis (stage 4-5). The association between baseline variables and SCD was assessed using Cox and competing-risk (Fine and Grey) regression models. Demographic, clinical information, medication use, and baseline biochemical parameters of potential interest were included as covariates.
During the study period (median follow-up time 12 months), 210 patients died (19%), and SCD occurred in 34 cases (16% of total deaths). All-cause mortality and SCD incidence rates were 113 (95% CI: 99-128), and 18 (95% CI: 13-26) events per 1000 patients/year, respectively. By Cox regression analysis, covariates significantly associated with SCD were: Age, comorbidity index, and treatment with antiplatelet drugs. This latter covariate showed a beneficial effect over the development of SCD. By competing-risk regression, in which the competing event was non-sudden death from any cause, only age and comorbidity index remained significantly associated with SCD.
SCD is relatively common in non-dialysis advanced CKD patients. SCD was closely related to age and comorbidity, and some indirect data from this study suggest that unrecognised or undertreated cardiovascular disease may predispose to a higher risk of SCD.
透析患者中相当一部分死亡是突然且意外发生的。非透析晚期慢性肾脏病(CKD)阶段的心源性猝死(SCD)发生率研究较少。
本研究旨在确定1078例未接受透析的CKD患者队列中SCD的发生率及预测因素。
前瞻性观察队列研究,纳入未接受透析的晚期CKD患者(4 - 5期)。使用Cox模型和竞争风险(Fine和Grey)回归模型评估基线变量与SCD之间的关联。纳入人口统计学、临床信息、用药情况以及潜在相关的基线生化参数作为协变量。
在研究期间(中位随访时间12个月),210例患者死亡(19%),34例发生SCD(占总死亡人数的16%)。全因死亡率和SCD发生率分别为每1000患者/年113例(95%CI:99 - 128)和18例(95%CI:13 - 26)。通过Cox回归分析,与SCD显著相关的协变量为:年龄、合并症指数以及抗血小板药物治疗。后一个协变量对SCD的发生显示出有益作用。通过竞争风险回归分析,其中竞争事件为任何原因导致的非心源性猝死,只有年龄和合并症指数仍与SCD显著相关。
SCD在未透析的晚期CKD患者中相对常见。SCD与年龄和合并症密切相关,本研究的一些间接数据表明,未被识别或治疗不足的心血管疾病可能使SCD风险更高。