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牙齿年龄估计:以实际年龄的金标准作为对照,对正确识别18岁以上个体的可靠性进行的一项测试。

Dental Age Estimation: A Test of the Reliability of Correctly Identifying a Subject Over 18 Years of Age Using the Gold Standard of Chronological Age as the Comparator.

作者信息

Lucas Victoria S, Andiappan Manoharan, McDonald Fraser, Roberts Graham

机构信息

Department of Orthodontics, King's College London Dental Institute, Tower Wing, Guy's Campus, Great Maze Pond, London, SE1 9RT, U.K.

Biostatistics and Research Methods Centre, Division of Patient and Population Health, King's College London Dental Institute, Denmark Hill Campus, Camberwell, London, SE1 9RW, U.K.

出版信息

J Forensic Sci. 2016 Sep;61(5):1238-43. doi: 10.1111/1556-4029.13132. Epub 2016 Jul 4.

Abstract

This study was designed to test the reliability of using the third molars to demarcate between child and adult status. A total of 2000 dental panoramic tomographs were used for assessment of the calculated age using the 8-stage system of tooth development and applied to all four third molars. The LL8 was also assessed using this 8-stage system. For each tooth development stage, the Normal distribution and percentile summary data were estimated. The calculated dental age compared with the chronological age was statistically significantly different (p < 0.001) for both females and males giving underestimates of the true age. Comparison of single tooth dental age and chronological age was only slightly different. The most important finding is that the assignment to above or below the 18-year threshold, in the age range 17 years to 19 years, could be wrong on up to 50% of occasions.

摘要

本研究旨在测试使用第三磨牙来区分儿童和成人状态的可靠性。总共使用了2000张口腔全景断层扫描图像,采用牙齿发育的8阶段系统对所有四颗第三磨牙计算年龄并进行评估。同时也使用此8阶段系统对左下颌第三磨牙(LL8)进行评估。对于每个牙齿发育阶段,估计了正态分布和百分位数汇总数据。计算得出的牙齿年龄与实际年龄相比,无论男性还是女性,差异均具有统计学意义(p < 0.001),且低估了实际年龄。单颗牙齿的牙齿年龄与实际年龄的比较仅有轻微差异。最重要的发现是,在17岁至19岁的年龄范围内,将个体判定为高于或低于18岁阈值时,高达50%的情况下可能会出现错误。

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