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效用函数可预测猴子的方差和偏度风险偏好。

Utility functions predict variance and skewness risk preferences in monkeys.

作者信息

Genest Wilfried, Stauffer William R, Schultz Wolfram

机构信息

Department of Physiology, Development, and Neuroscience, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3DY, United Kingdom;

Department of Physiology, Development, and Neuroscience, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 3DY, United Kingdom; Systems Neuroscience Institute, Department of Neurobiology, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15261.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Jul 26;113(30):8402-7. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1602217113. Epub 2016 Jul 11.

Abstract

Utility is the fundamental variable thought to underlie economic choices. In particular, utility functions are believed to reflect preferences toward risk, a key decision variable in many real-life situations. To assess the validity of utility representations, it is therefore important to examine risk preferences. In turn, this approach requires formal definitions of risk. A standard approach is to focus on the variance of reward distributions (variance-risk). In this study, we also examined a form of risk related to the skewness of reward distributions (skewness-risk). Thus, we tested the extent to which empirically derived utility functions predicted preferences for variance-risk and skewness-risk in macaques. The expected utilities calculated for various symmetrical and skewed gambles served to define formally the direction of stochastic dominance between gambles. In direct choices, the animals' preferences followed both second-order (variance) and third-order (skewness) stochastic dominance. Specifically, for gambles with different variance but identical expected values (EVs), the monkeys preferred high-variance gambles at low EVs and low-variance gambles at high EVs; in gambles with different skewness but identical EVs and variances, the animals preferred positively over symmetrical and negatively skewed gambles in a strongly transitive fashion. Thus, the utility functions predicted the animals' preferences for variance-risk and skewness-risk. Using these well-defined forms of risk, this study shows that monkeys' choices conform to the internal reward valuations suggested by their utility functions. This result implies a representation of utility in monkeys that accounts for both variance-risk and skewness-risk preferences.

摘要

效用是被认为构成经济选择基础的基本变量。具体而言,效用函数被认为反映了对风险的偏好,而风险是许多现实生活情境中的关键决策变量。因此,为了评估效用表示的有效性,检验风险偏好很重要。反过来,这种方法需要对风险进行形式化定义。一种标准方法是关注奖励分布的方差(方差风险)。在本研究中,我们还考察了一种与奖励分布的偏度相关的风险形式(偏度风险)。因此,我们测试了根据经验得出的效用函数在多大程度上能够预测猕猴对方差风险和偏度风险的偏好。为各种对称和非对称赌博计算的预期效用有助于正式定义赌博之间随机占优的方向。在直接选择中,动物的偏好遵循二阶(方差)和三阶(偏度)随机占优。具体来说,对于具有不同方差但期望值(EV)相同的赌博,猴子在低期望值时偏好高方差赌博,在高期望值时偏好低方差赌博;在具有不同偏度但期望值和方差相同的赌博中,动物以强烈的可传递方式偏好正偏度赌博而非对称和负偏度赌博。因此,效用函数预测了动物对方差风险和偏度风险的偏好。利用这些明确界定的风险形式,本研究表明猴子的选择符合其效用函数所暗示的内部奖励估值。这一结果意味着猕猴的效用表示考虑了方差风险和偏度风险偏好。

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