Kokudo Takashi, Hasegawa Kiyoshi, Amikura Katsumi, Uldry Emilie, Shirata Chikara, Yamaguchi Takamune, Arita Junichi, Kaneko Junichi, Akamatsu Nobuhisa, Sakamoto Yoshihiro, Takahashi Amane, Sakamoto Hirohiko, Makuuchi Masatoshi, Matsuyama Yutaka, Demartines Nicolas, Malagó Massimo, Kokudo Norihiro, Halkic Nermin
Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery Division and Artificial Organ and Transplantation Division, Department of Surgery, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Division of Gastroenterological Surgery, Saitama Cancer Center, Saitama, Japan.
PLoS One. 2016 Jul 19;11(7):e0159530. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0159530. eCollection 2016.
Most patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have underlying liver disease, therefore, precise preoperative evaluation of the patient's liver function is essential for surgical decision making.
We developed a grading system incorporating only two variables, namely, the serum albumin level and the indocyanine green retention rate at 15 minutes (ICG R15), to assess the preoperative liver function, based on the overall survival of 1868 patients with HCC who underwent liver resection. We then tested the model in a European cohort (n = 70) and analyzed the predictive power for the postoperative short-term outcome.
The Albumin-Indocyanine Green Evaluation (ALICE) grading system was developed in a randomly assigned training cohort: linear predictor = 0.663 × log10ICG R15 (%)-0.0718 × albumin (g/L) (cut-off value: -2.20 and -1.39). This new grading system showed a predictive power for the overall survival similar to the Child-Pugh grading system in the validation cohort. Determination of the ALICE grade in Child-Pugh A patients allowed further stratification of the postoperative prognosis. This result was reproducible in the European cohort. Determination of the ALICE grade allowed better prediction of the risk of postoperative liver failure and mortality (ascites: grade 1, 2.1%; grade 2, 6.5%; grade 3, 16.0%; mortality: grade 1, 0%; grade 2, 1.3%; grade 3, 5.3%) than the previously reported model based on the presence/absence of portal hypertension.
This new grading system is a simple method for prediction of the postoperative long-term and short-term outcomes.
大多数肝细胞癌(HCC)患者都有潜在的肝脏疾病,因此,对患者肝功能进行精确的术前评估对于手术决策至关重要。
我们基于1868例行肝切除术的HCC患者的总生存期,开发了一种仅纳入血清白蛋白水平和15分钟吲哚菁绿潴留率(ICG R15)这两个变量的分级系统,以评估术前肝功能。然后我们在一个欧洲队列(n = 70)中对该模型进行测试,并分析其对术后短期结局的预测能力。
白蛋白-吲哚菁绿评估(ALICE)分级系统在随机分配的训练队列中开发得出:线性预测因子= 0.663×log10ICG R15(%)-0.0718×白蛋白(g/L)(临界值:-2.20和-1.39)。在验证队列中,这个新的分级系统显示出与Child-Pugh分级系统相似的对总生存期的预测能力。对Child-Pugh A级患者确定ALICE分级可进一步对术后预后进行分层。这一结果在欧洲队列中具有可重复性。与先前报道的基于有无门静脉高压的模型相比,确定ALICE分级能更好地预测术后肝衰竭和死亡风险(腹水:1级,2.1%;2级,6.5%;3级,16.0%;死亡率:1级,0%;2级,1.3%;3级,5.3%)。
这个新的分级系统是一种预测术后长期和短期结局的简单方法。