Weigl Korbinian, Jansen Lina, Chang-Claude Jenny, Knebel Phillip, Hoffmeister Michael, Brenner Hermann
Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Unit of Genetic Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany.
Int J Cancer. 2016 Nov 15;139(10):2213-20. doi: 10.1002/ijc.30284. Epub 2016 Aug 22.
Registry-based studies on the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) for persons with a family history (FH) typically did not control for important covariates, such as history of colonoscopy. We aimed to quantify the association between FH and CRC risk, carefully accounting for potential confounders. We conducted a population-based case-control study in Germany. A total of 4,313 patients with a first diagnosis of CRC (cases) and 3,153 controls recruited from 2003 to 2014 were included. We used multiple logistic regression analyses to assess the association between FH and risk of CRC with odds ratios (OR) and the resulting 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). A total of 582 cases (13.5%) and 321 (10.2%) controls reported a history of CRC in a first-degree relative, which was associated with a 41% increase in risk of CRC (OR: 1.41, 95% CI 1.22-1.63) after adjustment for sex and age. The OR substantially increased to 1.73 (95% CI, 1.48-2.03) after comprehensive adjustment including previous colonoscopies. Irrespective of their FH status, persons with history of colonoscopies had a lower CRC risk compared with persons without previous colonoscopies and without family history (OR: 0.25, 95% CI, 0.22-0.28 for persons without FH and OR 0.45, 95% CI, 0.36-0.56 for persons with FH). In an era of widespread use of colonoscopy, adjusting for previous colonoscopy is therefore crucial for deriving valid estimates of FH-related CRC risk. Colonoscopy reduces the risk of CRC among those with FH far below levels of people with no FH and no colonoscopy.
基于登记处的关于有家族病史(FH)人群患结直肠癌(CRC)风险的研究通常未对重要的协变量进行控制,比如结肠镜检查史。我们旨在量化家族病史与结直肠癌风险之间的关联,同时仔细考虑潜在的混杂因素。我们在德国开展了一项基于人群的病例对照研究。纳入了2003年至2014年期间首次诊断为结直肠癌的4313例患者(病例组)和3153例对照。我们使用多元逻辑回归分析来评估家族病史与结直肠癌风险之间的关联,并得出比值比(OR)及相应的95%置信区间(95%CI)。共有582例病例(13.5%)和321例对照(10.2%)报告有一级亲属患结直肠癌的病史,在对性别和年龄进行调整后,这与结直肠癌风险增加41%相关(OR:1.41,95%CI 1.22 - 1.63)。在纳入包括既往结肠镜检查情况进行全面调整后,OR大幅增至1.73(95%CI,1.48 - 2.03)。无论家族病史状况如何,有结肠镜检查史的人与既无既往结肠镜检查史又无家族病史的人相比,患结直肠癌的风险更低(无家族病史者的OR:0.25,95%CI,0.22 - 0.28;有家族病史者的OR:0.45,95%CI,0.36 - 0.56)。因此,在结肠镜检查广泛应用的时代,对既往结肠镜检查情况进行调整对于得出与家族病史相关的结直肠癌风险的有效估计至关重要。结肠镜检查将有家族病史者患结直肠癌的风险降低至远低于既无家族病史又无结肠镜检查史者的水平。