Teeraananchai S, Kerr S J, Amin J, Ruxrungtham K, Law M G
Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
HIV-NAT, Thai Red Cross AIDS Research Centre, Bangkok, Thailand.
HIV Med. 2017 Apr;18(4):256-266. doi: 10.1111/hiv.12421. Epub 2016 Aug 31.
OBJECTIVES: Life expectancy is an important indicator informing decision making in policies relating to HIV-infected people. Studies estimating life expectancy after starting combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) have noted differences between income regions. The objective of our study was to perform a meta-analysis to assess life expectancy of HIV-positive people after starting cART, and to quantify differences between low/middle- and high-income countries. METHODS: Eight cohort studies estimating life expectancy in HIV-positive people initiating cART aged ≥ 14 years using the abridged life table method were identified. Random effects meta-analysis was used to pool estimated outcomes, overall and by income region. Heterogeneity between studies was assessed with the I statistic. We estimated additional years of life expected after starting cART at ages 20 and 35 years. RESULTS: Overall life expectancy in high-income countries was an additional 43.3 years [95% confidence interval (CI) 42.5-44.2 years] and 32.2 years (95% CI 30.9-33.5 years) at ages 20 and 35 years, respectively, and 28.3 (95% CI 23.3-33.3) and 25.6 (95% CI 22.1-29.2) additional years, respectively, in low/middle-income countries. In low/middle-income countries, life expectancy after starting cART at age 20 years was an additional 22.9 years (95% CI 18.4-27.5 years) for men and 33.0 years (95% CI 30.4-35.6 years) for women, but was similar in the two sexes in high-income countries. In all income regions, life expectancy after starting cART increased over calendar time. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the life expectancy of HIV-positive people after starting cART has improved over time. Monitoring life expectancy into the future is important to assess how changes to cART guidelines will affect patient long-term outcomes.
目标:预期寿命是为与艾滋病毒感染者相关的政策决策提供信息的重要指标。估计开始联合抗逆转录病毒疗法(cART)后的预期寿命的研究指出了不同收入地区之间的差异。我们研究的目的是进行一项荟萃分析,以评估开始cART后艾滋病毒阳性者的预期寿命,并量化低收入/中等收入国家与高收入国家之间的差异。 方法:确定了八项队列研究,这些研究使用简略寿命表法估计年龄≥14岁开始cART的艾滋病毒阳性者的预期寿命。采用随机效应荟萃分析来汇总总体及按收入地区划分的估计结果。用I统计量评估研究之间的异质性。我们估计了20岁和35岁开始cART后预期的额外寿命年数。 结果:在高收入国家,20岁和35岁开始cART后的总体预期寿命分别额外增加43.3年[95%置信区间(CI)42.5 - 44.2年]和32.2年(95%CI 30.9 - 33.5年),在低收入/中等收入国家分别额外增加28.3年(95%CI 23.3 - 33.3年)和25.6年(95%CI 22.1 - 29.2年)。在低收入/中等收入国家,20岁开始cART后男性的预期寿命额外增加22.9年(95%CI 18.4 - 27.5年),女性额外增加33.0年(95%CI 30.4 - 35.6年),但在高收入国家两性的预期寿命相似。在所有收入地区,开始cART后的预期寿命随时间推移而增加。 结论:我们的结果表明,开始cART后艾滋病毒阳性者的预期寿命随时间有所改善。监测未来的预期寿命对于评估cART指南的变化将如何影响患者的长期结局很重要。
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