Kelly Scott P, Graubard Barry I, Andreotti Gabriella, Younes Naji, Cleary Sean D, Cook Michael B
Affiliations of authors: Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services, Bethesda, MD (SPK, BIG, GA, MBC); Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Milken Institute School of Public Health, The George Washington University, Washington, DC (SPK, NY, SDC).
J Natl Cancer Inst. 2016 Oct 20;109(3). doi: 10.1093/jnci/djw225. Print 2017 Mar.
Evidence suggests that obesity in adulthood is associated with increased risk of "clinically significant" prostate cancer. However, studies of body mass index (BMI) across the adult life course and prostate cancer risks remain limited.
In a prospective cohort of 69 873 men in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial, we examined associations of prediagnostic BMI across the adult life course with risk of incident prostate cancer and fatal prostate cancer (prostate cancer-specific mortality). At 13 years of follow-up, we identified 7822 incident prostate cancer cases, of which 3078 were aggressive and 255 fatal. BMI trajectories were determined using latent-class trajectory modeling. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
BMI at age 20 years, 50 years, and baseline questionnaire (mean age = 63 years) were associated with increased risks of fatal prostate cancer (HRs = 1.27-1.32 per five-unit increase). In five BMI trajectories identified, fatal prostate cancer risk was increased in men who had a normal BMI (HR = 1.95, 95% CI = 1.21 to 3.12) or who were overweight (HR = 2.65, 95% CI = 1.35 to 5.18) at age 20 years and developed obesity by baseline compared with men who maintained a normal BMI. Aggressive and nonaggressive prostate cancer were not associated with BMI, and modest inverse associations were seen for total prostate cancer.
Our results suggest that BMI trajectories during adulthood that result in obesity lead to an elevated risk of fatal prostate cancer.
有证据表明,成年期肥胖与“具有临床意义的”前列腺癌风险增加有关。然而,关于成年期整个生命历程中的体重指数(BMI)与前列腺癌风险的研究仍然有限。
在前列腺、肺、结肠直肠和卵巢癌筛查试验中对69873名男性进行的前瞻性队列研究中,我们研究了成年期整个生命历程中诊断前BMI与前列腺癌发病风险和致命性前列腺癌(前列腺癌特异性死亡率)之间的关联。在13年的随访中,我们确定了7822例前列腺癌发病病例,其中3078例为侵袭性病例,255例死亡。使用潜在类别轨迹模型确定BMI轨迹。采用Cox比例风险回归来估计风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(CI)。
20岁、50岁时的BMI以及基线问卷时(平均年龄 = 63岁)的BMI与致命性前列腺癌风险增加相关(每增加五个单位,HR = 1.27 - 1.32)。在确定的五条BMI轨迹中,与维持正常BMI的男性相比,20岁时BMI正常(HR = 1.95,95%CI = 1.21至3.12)或超重(HR = 2.65,95%CI = 1.35至5.18)且到基线时发展为肥胖的男性,其致命性前列腺癌风险增加。侵袭性和非侵袭性前列腺癌与BMI无关,而总前列腺癌存在适度的负相关。
我们的结果表明,成年期导致肥胖的BMI轨迹会导致致命性前列腺癌风险升高。