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慢性阻塞性肺疾病患者的稳定状态前肾上腺髓质素水平:一项验证研究。

Stable State Proadrenomedullin Level in COPD Patients: A Validation Study.

作者信息

Zuur-Telgen Maaike, VanderValk Paul, van der Palen Job, Kerstjens Huib A M, Brusse-Keizer Marjolein

机构信息

a Department of Pulmonary Medicine , Medisch Spectrum Twente , Enschede , the Netherlands.

b Department of Internal Medicine , Medisch Spectrum Twente , Enschede , the Netherlands.

出版信息

COPD. 2017 Apr;14(2):219-227. doi: 10.1080/15412555.2016.1250254. Epub 2016 Nov 23.

Abstract

In patients with stable COPD, proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) has been shown to be a good predictor for mortality. This study aims to provide an external validation of earlier observed cut-off values used by Zuur-Telgen et al. and Stolz.et al. in COPD patients in stable state and at hospitalization for an acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). From the COMIC cohort study we included 545 COPD patients with a blood sample obtained in stable state (n = 490) and/or at hospitalization for an AECOPD (n = 101). Time to death was compared between patients with MR-proADM cut-off scores 0.71 and 0.75 nmol/L for stable state or 0.79 and 0.84 nmol/l for AECOPD. The predictive value of MR-proADM for survival was represented by the C statistic. Risk ratios were corrected for sex, age, BMI, presence of heart failure, and GOLD stage. Patients above the cut-off of 0.75 nmol/l had a 2-fold higher risk of dying than patient below this cut-off (95% CI: 1.20-3.41). The cut-off of 0.71 nmol/l showed only a borderline significantly higher risk of 1.67 (95% CI: 0.98-2.85). The corrected odds ratios for one-year mortality were 3.15 (95% CI 1.15-8.64) and 3.70 (95% CI 1.18-11.6) in patients with MR-proADM levels above versus below the cut-off of respectively 0.75 and 0.71 nmol/l measured in stable state. MR-proADM levels in samples at hospitalization for an AECOPD were not predictive for mortality in this validation cohort. MR-proADM in stable state is a powerful predictor for mortality.

摘要

在稳定期慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)患者中,肾上腺髓质素前体(MR-proADM)已被证明是死亡率的良好预测指标。本研究旨在对Zuur-Telgen等人和Stolz等人之前观察到的COPD稳定期患者以及因慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重(AECOPD)住院患者的临界值进行外部验证。从COMIC队列研究中,我们纳入了545例COPD患者,这些患者在稳定期(n = 490)和/或因AECOPD住院时(n = 101)采集了血样。比较了MR-proADM临界值分别为0.71和0.75 nmol/L(稳定期)或0.79和0.84 nmol/L(AECOPD)的患者的死亡时间。MR-proADM对生存的预测价值用C统计量表示。风险比根据性别、年龄、体重指数、心力衰竭的存在情况和GOLD分期进行校正。临界值高于0.75 nmol/L的患者死亡风险比低于该临界值的患者高2倍(95%置信区间:1.20 - 3.41)。0.71 nmol/L的临界值仅显示出边缘性显著更高的风险,为1.67(95%置信区间:0.98 - 2.85)。在稳定期测量的MR-proADM水平高于和低于临界值分别为0.75和0.71 nmol/L的患者中,校正后的一年死亡率优势比分别为3.15(95%置信区间1.15 - 8.64)和3.70(95%置信区间1.18 - 11.6)。在该验证队列中,AECOPD住院时样本中的MR-proADM水平对死亡率无预测作用。稳定期的MR-proADM是死亡率的有力预测指标。

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