Vergara Ruben, Valenti Renato, Migliorini Angela, Cerisano Giampaolo, Carrabba Nazario, Giurlani Letizia, Antoniucci David
Division of Cardiology, Careggi-Hospital, Florence, Italy.
Division of Cardiology, Careggi-Hospital, Florence, Italy.
Am J Cardiol. 2017 Feb 1;119(3):351-354. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2016.10.034. Epub 2016 Nov 1.
Poor data exist about predictors of long-term cardiac mortality in patients presenting acute myocardial infarction (AMI) complicated by cardiogenic shock (CS) treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (p-PCI), and current risk-adjustment models in this setting are not adequate. We retrospectively analyzed our registry of patients with AMI treated with p-PCI. The aim of this study was to identify the independent predictors of 2-year cardiac mortality in patients presenting CS. A Risk Score was created assigning at any independent variable a value directly correlated with its power to increase mortality. From 1995 to 2013, 4,078 consecutive patients underwent primary PCI for AMI. Of these, 388 patients (10.5%) had CS on admission. The p-PCI procedural success was 85%. At 2-year follow-up, the overall cardiac mortality rate was 48%. The independent predictors related with mortality were: out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51; p = 0.04), age >75 years (HR 2.09; p ≤0.001), and failure p-PCI (HR 2.30; p <0.001). On the basis of the HR obtained, we assigned an incremental value to each independent variable identified (OHCA: 0.5 points, age>75 years: 1 point, failed p-PCI: 1.5 points). The mortality rates among different score risk level were highly significant (p <0.001): 32% score risk 1 (points 0), 58% score risk 2 (points 0.5-2), and 83% score risk 3 (points >2), respectively. In conclusion, OHCA, age >75 years, and failed p-PCI are strong predictors of 2-year cardiac mortality. On the basis of this, a rapid score tool could be useful to identify patients at major risk of death.
关于接受直接经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(p-PCI)的急性心肌梗死(AMI)合并心源性休克(CS)患者长期心脏死亡预测因素的数据匮乏,目前该情况下的风险调整模型并不充分。我们回顾性分析了接受p-PCI治疗的AMI患者登记资料。本研究的目的是确定CS患者2年心脏死亡的独立预测因素。创建了一个风险评分,为每个独立变量赋予一个与其增加死亡率的能力直接相关的值。1995年至2013年,4078例连续患者接受了AMI的直接PCI治疗。其中,388例患者(10.5%)入院时存在CS。p-PCI手术成功率为85%。在2年随访时,总体心脏死亡率为48%。与死亡率相关的独立预测因素为:院外心脏骤停(OHCA)(风险比[HR]1.51;p = 0.04)、年龄>75岁(HR 2.09;p≤0.001)以及p-PCI失败(HR 2.30;p<0.001)。根据获得的HR,我们为每个确定的独立变量赋予一个增加值(OHCA:0.5分,年龄>75岁:1分,p-PCI失败:1.5分)。不同评分风险水平的死亡率差异具有高度显著性(p<0.001):风险评分为1(0分)的患者死亡率为32%,风险评分为2(0.5 - 2分)的患者死亡率为58%,风险评分为3(>2分)的患者死亡率为83%。总之,OHCA、年龄>75岁以及p-PCI失败是2年心脏死亡的强预测因素。基于此,一种快速评分工具可能有助于识别死亡风险较高的患者。