Zou Wei, Wang Xiaokun, Zhang Dapeng
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, 4027 JEC Building, 110 8th Street, Troy, NY 12180-3590, USA.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, 4032 JEC Building, 110 8th Street, Troy, NY 12180-3590, USA.
Accid Anal Prev. 2017 Feb;99(Pt A):249-261. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2016.11.024. Epub 2016 Dec 13.
This paper investigates the differences between single-vehicle and multi-vehicle truck crashes in New York City. The random parameter models take into account the time of day effect, the heterogeneous truck weight effect and other influencing factors such as crash characteristics, driver and vehicle characteristics, built environment factors and traffic volume attributes. Based on the results from the co-location quotient analysis, a spatial generalized ordered probit model is further developed to investigate the potential spatial dependency among single-vehicle truck crashes. The sample is drawn from the state maintained incident data, the publicly available Smart Location Data, and the BEST Practices Model (BPM) data from 2008 to 2012. The result shows that there exists a substantial difference between factors influencing single-vehicle and multi-vehicle truck crash severity. It also suggests that heterogeneity does exist in the truck weight, and it behaves differently in single-vehicle and multi-vehicle truck crashes. Furthermore, individual truck crashes are proved to be spatially dependent events for both single and multi-vehicle crashes. Last but not least, significant time of day effects were found for PM and night time slots, crashes that occurred in the afternoons and at nights were less severe in single-vehicle crashes, but more severe in multi-vehicle crashes.
本文研究了纽约市单车与多车卡车碰撞事故之间的差异。随机参数模型考虑了一天中的不同时段影响、卡车重量的异质性影响以及其他影响因素,如碰撞特征、驾驶员和车辆特征、建成环境因素和交通流量属性。基于同位商分析的结果,进一步开发了空间广义有序概率模型,以研究单车卡车碰撞事故之间潜在的空间依赖性。样本取自2008年至2012年由州维护的事故数据、公开可用的智能位置数据以及最佳实践模型(BPM)数据。结果表明,影响单车和多车卡车碰撞严重程度的因素存在显著差异。这也表明卡车重量确实存在异质性,并且在单车和多车卡车碰撞中表现不同。此外,事实证明,单车和多车碰撞中的个别卡车碰撞事故都是空间相关事件。最后但同样重要的是,发现下午和夜间时段存在显著的时段影响,下午和夜间发生的碰撞事故在单车碰撞中不太严重,但在多车碰撞中更严重。