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爱沙尼亚肉牛母牛-犊牛群的农场内死亡率、病因及风险因素

On-farm mortality, causes and risk factors in Estonian beef cow-calf herds.

作者信息

Mõtus Kerli, Reimus Kaari, Orro Toomas, Viltrop Arvo, Emanuelson Ulf

机构信息

Institute of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Sciences, Estonian University of Life Sciences, Estonia.

Institute of Veterinary Medicine and Animal Sciences, Estonian University of Life Sciences, Estonia.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2017 Apr 1;139(Pt A):10-19. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2016.10.014. Epub 2016 Oct 19.

Abstract

High on-farm mortality is associated with lower financial return of production and poor animal health and welfare. Understanding the reasons for on-farm mortality and related risk factors allows focus on specific prevention measures. This retrospective cohort study used cattle registry data from the years 2013 and 2014, collected from cattle from all Estonian cow-calf beef herds. The dataset contained 78,605 animal records from 1321 farms in total. Including unassisted deaths and euthanasia (2199 in total) the on-farm mortality rate was 2.14 per 100 animal-years. Across all age groups of both sexes the mortality rate (MR) was highest for bull calves up to three months old (MR=7.78 per 100 animal-years, 95% CI 6.97; 8.68) followed by that for heifer calves (MR=6.21 per 100 animal-years, 95% CI 5.49; 7.02). For female cattle the mortality risk declined after three months of age but increased again among animals over 18 months. The reason for death stated by the farmers was analysed for cattle under animal performance testing. Other/unknown reasons, trauma and accidents, as well as metabolic and digestive disorders, formed the three most commonly reported reasons for death in cattle of all age groups. Weibull proportional hazard models with farm frailty effects were applied in three age categories (calves up to three months, youngstock from three to 18 months and cattle aged over 18 months) to identify factors associated with the risk of mortality. Male sex was associated with increased risk of mortality in cattle up to 18 months of age. No difference between breeds was found for cattle up to 18 months of age. Beef cattle breeds rarely represented or dairy breeds (breed category 'Other') had the highest mortality hazard (HR=1.41, 95% CI 1.11; 1.78) compared to Hereford. The hazard of mortality generally increased with herd size for calves, young stock and older bulls. In female cattle over 18 months of age there was no difference in mortality hazard over herd size categories. Herd location was controlled in the models and regional differences in mortality hazard were found. Common to all age groups, calving season was associated with increased risk of mortality.

摘要

农场死亡率高与生产的较低财务回报以及动物健康和福利不佳相关。了解农场死亡率的原因及相关风险因素有助于聚焦特定的预防措施。这项回顾性队列研究使用了2013年和2014年的牛只登记数据,这些数据收集自爱沙尼亚所有奶牛-肉牛犊牛群的牛只。数据集总共包含来自1321个农场的78,605条动物记录。包括自然死亡和安乐死(总共2199例),农场死亡率为每100动物年2.14例。在所有年龄组的两性中,三个月龄以下的公牛犊死亡率最高(每100动物年死亡率为7.78,95%置信区间6.97;8.68),其次是小母牛犊(每100动物年死亡率为6.21,95%置信区间5.49;7.02)。对于母牛,三个月龄后死亡风险下降,但在18个月以上的动物中又再次上升。对处于性能测试中的牛只,分析了农民所述的死亡原因。其他/不明原因、创伤和事故以及代谢和消化系统疾病,是所有年龄组牛只中最常报告的三个死亡原因。在三个年龄类别(三个月龄以下的犊牛、三个月至18个月的幼畜以及18个月以上的牛)中应用了具有农场脆弱性效应的威布尔比例风险模型,以确定与死亡风险相关的因素。雄性与18个月龄以下牛的死亡风险增加相关。在18个月龄以下的牛中,未发现品种之间存在差异。与赫里福德牛相比,很少出现的肉牛品种或乳用品种(品种类别“其他”)具有最高的死亡风险(风险比=1.41,95%置信区间1.11;1.78)。犊牛、幼畜和成年公牛的死亡风险通常随牛群规模增加而增加。在18个月龄以上的母牛中,不同牛群规模类别的死亡风险没有差异。模型中对牛群位置进行了控制,并发现了死亡风险的区域差异。在所有年龄组中,产犊季节都与死亡风险增加相关。

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