Department of Surgery, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minn.
Division of Cardiovascular and Thoracic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minn.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2017 Dec;154(6):2126-2133.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2017.06.029. Epub 2017 Jun 17.
We sought to clarify the effect of donor age as a continuous variable on morbidity and mortality in a single-institution experience.
From 1986 to 2016, 882 adult lung transplants were performed, including 396 in the lung allocation score era. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the association of donor age with overall survival and bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome (BOS) score ≥1-free survival. Logistic regression was used to evaluate the association with primary graft dysfunction grade 3. Natural cubic splines were used to explore donor age in a continuous fashion to allow for nonlinear relationships.
In the lung allocation score era, unadjusted 5-year survival was not significantly different between 3 a priori-defined donor age groups: age <40, 40 to 54, and age ≥55 years (64%, 61%, and 69%, P = .8). Unadjusted 5-year freedom from BOS ≥1 was not significantly different (34%, 20%, and 33%, respectively, P = .1). After we adjusted for comorbidities, cubic spline analysis demonstrated no effect between donor age as a continuous variable and hazard for mortality at 5 years. Similarly, no interaction was seen between donor age and risk of BOS or primary graft dysfunction 3. Adjusted analysis of all 882 transplants pre- and postinception of the lung allocation score also showed no effect of age on 10-year survival.
Long-term survival of lung transplant recipients was not affected by the age of the donor. These findings support the notion that donor age could be relaxed.
我们旨在澄清供体年龄作为连续变量对单中心经验中发病率和死亡率的影响。
1986 年至 2016 年,共进行了 882 例成人肺移植,其中肺分配评分时代进行了 396 例。使用 Kaplan-Meier 曲线和 Cox 比例风险模型评估供体年龄与总生存和闭塞性细支气管炎综合征(BOS)评分≥1 无生存的关系。使用逻辑回归评估与原发性移植物功能障碍 3 级的关系。使用自然三次样条以连续方式探索供体年龄,以允许存在非线性关系。
在肺分配评分时代,三个预先定义的供体年龄组之间,未经调整的 5 年生存率没有显著差异:年龄<40 岁、40-54 岁和年龄≥55 岁(分别为 64%、61%和 69%,P=0.8)。未经调整的 5 年无 BOS 分级≥1 的生存率也无显著差异(分别为 34%、20%和 33%,P=0.1)。在调整了合并症后,三次样条分析显示供体年龄作为连续变量与 5 年死亡风险之间没有关系。同样,在供体年龄和 BOS 或原发性移植物功能障碍 3 级风险之间也没有看到交互作用。在肺分配评分实施前后对所有 882 例移植的调整分析也表明,年龄对 10 年生存率没有影响。
肺移植受者的长期生存率不受供体年龄的影响。这些发现支持供体年龄可以放宽的观点。