Bénet Thomas, Picot Valentina Sanchez, Awasthi Shally, Pandey Nitin, Bavdekar Ashish, Kawade Anand, Robinson Annick, Rakoto-Andrianarivelo Mala, Sylla Maryam, Diallo Souleymane, Russomando Graciela, Basualdo Wilma, Komurian-Pradel Florence, Endtz Hubert, Vanhems Philippe, Paranhos-Baccalà Gláucia
Service d'Hygiène, Epidémiologie et Prévention, Hôpital Edouard Herriot, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France.
Laboratoire des Pathogènes Emergents, Fondation Mérieux, Centre International de Recherche en Infectiologie (CIRI), INSERM U1111, CNRS, UMR5308, ENS de Lyon, UCBL1, Lyon, France.
Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2017 Jul;97(1):68-76. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.16-0733.
Pneumonia is the leading cause of death in children. The objectives were to evaluate the microbiological agents linked with hypoxemia in hospitalized children with pneumonia from developing countries, to identify predictors of hypoxemia, and to characterize factors associated with in-hospital mortality. A multicenter, observational study was conducted in five hospitals, from India (Lucknow, Vadu), Madagascar (Antananarivo), Mali (Bamako), and Paraguay (San Lorenzo). Children aged 2-60 months with radiologically confirmed pneumonia were enrolled prospectively. Respiratory and whole blood specimens were collected, identifying viruses and bacteria by real-time multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR). Microbiological agents linked with hypoxemia at admission (oxygen saturation < 90%) were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression, and factors associated with 14-day in-hospital mortality were assessed by bivariate Cox regression. Overall, 405 pneumonia cases (3,338 hospitalization days) were analyzed; 13 patients died within 14 days of hospitalization. Hypoxemia prevalence was 17.3%. Detection of human metapneumovirus (hMPV) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in respiratory samples was independently associated with increased risk of hypoxemia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.4, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] = 1.0-5.8 and aOR = 2.5, 95% CI = 1.1-5.3, respectively). Lower chest indrawing and cyanosis were predictive of hypoxemia (positive likelihood ratios = 2.3 and 2.4, respectively). Predictors of death were detection by blood PCR (crude hazard ratio [cHR] = 4.6, 95% CI = 1.5-14.0), procalcitonin ≥ 50 ng/mL (cHR = 22.4, 95% CI = 7.3-68.5) and hypoxemia (cHR = 4.8, 95% CI = 1.6-14.4). These findings were consistent on bivariate analysis. hMPV and RSV in respiratory samples were linked with hypoxemia, and in blood was associated with increased risk of death among hospitalized children with pneumonia in developing countries.
肺炎是儿童死亡的主要原因。目的是评估发展中国家住院肺炎儿童中与低氧血症相关的微生物病原体,确定低氧血症的预测因素,并描述与住院死亡率相关的因素。在印度(勒克瑙、瓦杜)、马达加斯加(塔那那利佛)、马里(巴马科)和巴拉圭(圣洛伦索)的五家医院开展了一项多中心观察性研究。前瞻性纳入年龄在2至60个月、经放射学确诊为肺炎的儿童。采集呼吸道和全血样本,通过实时多重聚合酶链反应(PCR)鉴定病毒和细菌。采用多因素逻辑回归分析入院时(血氧饱和度<90%)与低氧血症相关的微生物病原体,采用双变量Cox回归评估与14天住院死亡率相关的因素。共分析了405例肺炎病例(3338个住院日);13例患者在住院14天内死亡。低氧血症患病率为17.3%。呼吸道样本中检测到人偏肺病毒(hMPV)和呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)与低氧血症风险增加独立相关(校正比值比[aOR]=2.4,95%置信区间[95%CI]=1.0-5.8;aOR=2.5,95%CI=1.1-5.3)。下胸部凹陷和发绀可预测低氧血症(阳性似然比分别为2.3和2.4)。死亡的预测因素包括血液PCR检测阳性(粗风险比[cHR]=4.6,95%CI=1.5-14.0)、降钙素原≥50 ng/mL(cHR=22.4,95%CI=7.3-68.5)和低氧血症(cHR=4.8,95%CI=1.6-14.4)。这些发现在双变量分析中是一致的。呼吸道样本中的hMPV和RSV与低氧血症相关,而血液中的hMPV和RSV与发展中国家住院肺炎儿童的死亡风险增加相关。
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