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The risk of HIV transmission at each step of the HIV care continuum among people who inject drugs: a modeling study.

作者信息

Escudero Daniel J, Lurie Mark N, Mayer Kenneth H, King Maximilian, Galea Sandro, Friedman Samuel R, Marshall Brandon D L

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA, USA.

Department of Epidemiology, Brown University School of Public Health, 121 South Main Street (Box G-S-121-2), Providence, RI, USA.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2017 Jul 25;17(1):614. doi: 10.1186/s12889-017-4528-9.


DOI:10.1186/s12889-017-4528-9
PMID:28738861
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5525346/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: People who inject drugs (PWID) are at continued risk for HIV in the U.S., and experience disparities across the HIV care continuum compared to other high-risk groups. Estimates of the risk of HIV transmission at each stage of the care continuum may assist in identifying public health priorities for averting incident infections among PWID, in addition to transmissions to sexual partners of PWID. METHODS: We created an agent-based model simulating HIV transmission and the HIV care continuum for PWID in New York City (NYC) in 2012. To account for sexual transmission arising from PWID to non-PWID, the simulation included the entire adult NYC population. Using surveillance data and estimates from the National HIV Behavioral Surveillance system, we simulated a dynamic sexual and injecting network. We estimated the proportion of HIV transmission events attributable to PWID in the following categories, those: without an HIV diagnosis ('Undiagnosed'); diagnosed but not on antiretroviral therapy (ART) ('Diagnosed - not on ART'); those who initiated ART but were not virally suppressed ('Unsuppressed'); and, those who achieved viral suppression ('Suppressed'). RESULTS: We estimated HIV incidence among PWID to be 113 per 100,000 person-years in 2012, with an overall incidence rate for the entire adult NYC population of 33 per 100,000 person-years. Despite accounting for only 33% of the HIV-infected PWID population, the Undiagnosed were associated with 52.6% (95% simulation interval [95% SI]: 47.1-57.0%) of total transmission events. The Diagnosed - not on ART population contributed the second-largest proportion of HIV transmissions, with 36.6% (95% SI: 32.2-41.5%). The Unsuppressed population contributed 8.7% (95% SI: 5.6-11.8%), and Suppressed 2.1% (95% SI: 1.1-3.9%), relatively little of overall transmission. CONCLUSIONS: Among PWID in NYC, more than half (53%) of transmissions were from those who were unaware of their infection status and more than 36% were due to PWID who knew their status, but were not on treatment. Our results indicate the importance of early diagnosis and interventions to engage diagnosed PWID on treatment to further suppress population-level HIV transmission. Future HIV prevention research should focus on the elimination of identified and potential barriers to the testing, diagnosis, and retention of PWID on HIV treatment.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/186f/5525346/c592d99d01c5/12889_2017_4528_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/186f/5525346/e7ae2f24340d/12889_2017_4528_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/186f/5525346/c41c0e741880/12889_2017_4528_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/186f/5525346/c592d99d01c5/12889_2017_4528_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/186f/5525346/e7ae2f24340d/12889_2017_4528_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/186f/5525346/c41c0e741880/12889_2017_4528_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/186f/5525346/c592d99d01c5/12889_2017_4528_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

[1]
HIV Infection Linked to Injection Use of Oxymorphone in Indiana, 2014-2015.

N Engl J Med. 2016-7-21

[2]
Peru's HIV care continuum among men who have sex with men and transgender women: opportunities to optimize treatment and prevention.

Int J STD AIDS. 2016-10

[3]
Attrition and Opportunities Along the HIV Care Continuum: Findings From a Population-Based Sample, North West Province, South Africa.

J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2016-9-1

[4]
Strengthening universal HIV 'test-and-treat' approaches with social science research.

AIDS. 2016-3-27

[5]
HIV infection among persons who inject drugs: ending old epidemics and addressing new outbreaks.

AIDS. 2016-3-27

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Ideological Anachronism Involving Needle and Syringe Exchange Programs: Lessons From the Indiana HIV Outbreak.

JAMA. 2015-7-7

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Human immunodeficiency virus transmission at each step of the care continuum in the United States.

JAMA Intern Med. 2015-4

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Proportions of patients with HIV retained in care and virally suppressed in New York City and the United States: higher than we thought.

J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 2015-3-1

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MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2014-11-28

[10]
Modeling the implementation of universal coverage for HIV treatment as prevention and its impact on the HIV epidemic.

Curr HIV/AIDS Rep. 2014-12

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