Dunbar N K, Richards E E, Woldeyohannes D, Van den Bergh R, Wilkinson E, Tamang D, Owiti P
Ministry of Health, Monrovia, Liberia.
Aklilu Lemma Institute of Pathobiology, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Public Health Action. 2017 Jun 21;7(Suppl 1):S76-S81. doi: 10.5588/pha.16.0100.
The malaria-endemic country of Liberia, before, during and after the 2014 Ebola outbreak. To describe the consequences of the Ebola outbreak on Liberia's National Malaria Programme and its post-Ebola recovery. A retrospective cross-sectional study using routine countrywide programme data. Malaria caseloads decreased by 47% during the Ebola outbreak and by 11% after, compared to the pre-Ebola period. In those counties most affected by Ebola, a caseload reduction of >20% was sustained for 12 consecutive months, while this lasted for only 4 consecutive months in the counties least affected by Ebola. Linear regression of monthly proportions of confirmed malaria cases-as a proxy indicator of programme performance-over the pre- and post-Ebola periods indicated that the malaria programme could require 26 months after the end of the acute phase of the Ebola outbreak to recover to pre-Ebola levels. The differential persistence of reduced caseloads in the least- and most-affected counties, all of which experienced similar emergency measures, suggest that factors other than Ebola-related security measures played a key role in the programme's reduced performance. Clear guidance on when to abandon the emergency measures after an outbreak may be needed to ensure faster recovery of malaria programme performance.
利比里亚这个疟疾流行国家在2014年埃博拉疫情爆发之前、期间和之后的情况。描述埃博拉疫情对利比里亚国家疟疾防治计划及其埃博拉疫情后恢复的影响。一项利用全国常规计划数据的回顾性横断面研究。与埃博拉疫情前相比,埃博拉疫情期间疟疾病例数减少了47%,疫情后减少了11%。在受埃博拉影响最严重的那些县,病例数减少超过20%的情况持续了12个月,而在受埃博拉影响最小的县,这种情况仅持续了4个月。对埃博拉疫情前后确诊疟疾病例月度比例进行线性回归(作为计划执行情况的替代指标)表明,疟疾防治计划在埃博拉疫情急性期结束后可能需要26个月才能恢复到疫情前水平。在所有经历了类似紧急措施的受影响最小和最严重的县,病例数减少的持续时间存在差异,这表明除了与埃博拉相关的安全措施外,其他因素在该计划执行情况下降中起了关键作用。可能需要就疫情爆发后何时放弃紧急措施提供明确指导,以确保疟疾防治计划执行情况更快恢复。