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术中收缩压的性能测量预测成人肝移植术后院内死亡率。

Performance measurement of intraoperative systolic arterial pressure to predict in-hospital mortality in adult liver transplantation.

机构信息

Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2017 Aug 1;7(1):7030. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-07664-0.

Abstract

Profound hypotension during liver transplantation is aggressively treated with vasopressors thus frequently unrevealed in a retrospective study. The relationship between concealed intraoperative hypotension and in-hospital mortality after liver transplantation was evaluated using performance measurement (PM) of systolic arterial pressure (SAP). Median performance error (MDPE), median absolute performance error (MDAPE), and wobble of SAP were calculated using preoperative SAP as the reference value, and prereperfusion and postreperfusion SAPs as measured values. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed using 6 PM parameters and 36 traditional SAP-derived parameters to predict in-hospital mortality. In-hospital mortality was 3.9% (22/569 cases). Prereperfusion MDAPE and postreperfusion wobble were the only significant SAP-derived predictors of in-hospital mortality. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of prediction model was 0.769 (95% confidence interval 0.732-0.803, P < 0.001; sensitivity = 55%, specificity = 94%). Severe hypotension during liver transplantation is concealed by proactive vasopressor treatment thus traditional measures of hypotension generally fail to detect the masked hypotension in retrospective analysis. PM analysis of intraoperative SAP including prereperfusion MDAPE and postreperfusion wobble is most likely to detect treated and therefore concealed hypotension, and was able to independently and quantitatively predict in-hospital mortality after liver transplantation with high diagnostic specificity.

摘要

在肝移植过程中出现严重低血压时,会积极使用血管加压药进行治疗,因此在回顾性研究中往往无法发现这种情况。本研究使用收缩压绩效测量(PM)评估术中隐匿性低血压与肝移植后院内死亡率之间的关系。以术前收缩压(SAP)为参考值,计算中位性能误差(MDPE)、中位绝对性能误差(MDAPE)和 SAP 摆动,以术前 SAP 为测量值。使用 6 个 PM 参数和 36 个传统 SAP 衍生参数进行单变量和多变量逻辑回归分析,以预测院内死亡率。院内死亡率为 3.9%(22/569 例)。再灌注前 MDAPE 和再灌注后摆动是唯一与院内死亡率显著相关的 SAP 衍生预测因子。预测模型的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为 0.769(95%置信区间为 0.732-0.803,P<0.001;敏感性为 55%,特异性为 94%)。肝移植期间严重低血压被积极的血管加压药治疗所掩盖,因此传统的低血压测量方法在回顾性分析中通常无法发现隐匿性低血压。术中 SAP 的 PM 分析包括再灌注前 MDAPE 和再灌注后摆动,最有可能检测到经治疗的隐匿性低血压,并且能够独立且定量地预测肝移植后的院内死亡率,具有较高的诊断特异性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6201/5539171/009ba4ddc45e/41598_2017_7664_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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