Gurung Anobha, Son Ji-Young, Bell Michelle L
Am J Epidemiol. 2017 Sep 1;186(5):573-580. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwx135.
Air pollution is known to lead to a substantial health burden, but the majority of evidence is based on data from North America and Europe. Despite rising pollution levels, very limited information is available for South Asia. We investigated the impact of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 10 μm (PM10) on hospitalization, by cause and subpopulation, in the Kathmandu Valley, an understudied and rapidly urbanizing region in Nepal. Individual-level daily inpatient hospitalization data (2004-2007) were collected from each of 6 major hospitals, as Nepal has no central data collection system. Time-stratified case-crossover analysis was used with interaction terms for potential effect modifiers (e.g., age, sex, and socioeconomic status), with adjustment for day of the week and weather. Daily PM10 concentrations averaged 120 μg/m3, with the daily maximum reaching 403 μg/m3. A 10-μg/m3 increase in PM10 level was associated with increased risks of hospitalization of 1.00% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.62, 1.38), 1.70% (95% CI: 0.18, 3.25), and 2.29% (95% CI: 0.18, 4.43) for total, respiratory, and cardiovascular admissions, respectively. We did not find strong evidence of effect modification by age, sex, or socioeconomic status. These results, in combination with the high levels of exposure, indicate a potentially serious human health burden from air pollution in the Kathmandu Valley.
众所周知,空气污染会带来沉重的健康负担,但大多数证据都基于北美和欧洲的数据。尽管污染水平不断上升,但关于南亚的信息却非常有限。我们调查了尼泊尔加德满都谷地(一个研究较少且正在迅速城市化的地区)空气中空气动力学直径小于或等于10微米的颗粒物(PM10)对按病因和亚人群划分的住院情况的影响。由于尼泊尔没有中央数据收集系统,我们从6家主要医院收集了个体层面的每日住院患者数据(2004 - 2007年)。采用时间分层病例交叉分析,并使用交互项来分析潜在的效应修饰因素(如年龄、性别和社会经济地位),同时对星期几和天气进行了调整。PM10的日均浓度为120微克/立方米,日最大值达到403微克/立方米。PM10水平每增加10微克/立方米,总住院率、呼吸系统住院率和心血管系统住院率分别增加1.00%(95%置信区间(CI):0.62,1.38)、1.70%(95%CI:0.18,3.25)和2.29%(95%CI:0.18,4.43)。我们没有发现年龄、性别或社会经济地位对效应有显著修饰作用的有力证据。这些结果,再加上高暴露水平,表明加德满都谷地的空气污染可能给人类健康带来严重负担。