Davis James L, Vinogradova Nadya T
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University New York New York USA.
Cambridge Climate Institute Boston Massachusetts USA.
Geophys Res Lett. 2017 May 28;44(10):5133-5141. doi: 10.1002/2017GL072845. Epub 2017 May 29.
The tide-gauge record from the North American East Coast reveals significant accelerations in sea level starting in the late twentieth century. The estimated post-1990 accelerations range from near zero to ∼0.3 mm yr. We find that the observed sea level acceleration is well modeled using several processes: mass change in Greenland and Antarctica as measured by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment satellites; ocean dynamic and steric variability provided by the GECCO2 ocean synthesis; and the inverted barometer effect. However, to achieve this fit requires estimation of an admittance for the dynamical and steric contribution, possibly due to the coarse resolution of this analysis or to simplifications associated with parameterization of bottom friction in the shallow coastal areas. The acceleration from ice loss alone is equivalent to a regional sea level rise in one century of 0.2 m in the north and 0.75 m in the south of this region.
北美东海岸的验潮仪记录显示,从20世纪末开始海平面出现了显著加速上升。1990年后的估计海平面加速度范围从接近零到约0.3毫米/年。我们发现,使用几个过程可以很好地模拟观测到的海平面加速度:由重力恢复与气候实验卫星测量的格陵兰岛和南极洲的质量变化;GECCO2海洋综合数据提供的海洋动力和比容变化;以及反气压计效应。然而,要实现这种拟合需要估计动力和比容贡献的导纳,这可能是由于该分析的分辨率较低,或者是由于与浅海沿岸地区底部摩擦参数化相关的简化。仅冰盖流失导致的加速度相当于该地区北部一个世纪区域海平面上升0.2米,南部上升0.75米。