Université de Lyon, Université Lyon 1, UMR CNRS 5558, Villeurbanne Cedex, France.
Evolution. 2017 Dec;71(12):2768-2785. doi: 10.1111/evo.13379. Epub 2017 Nov 30.
Williams' evolutionary theory of senescence based on antagonistic pleiotropy has become a landmark in evolutionary biology, and more recently in biogerontology and evolutionary medicine. In his original article, Williams launched a set of nine "testable deductions" from his theory. Although some of these predictions have been repeatedly discussed, most have been overlooked and no systematic evaluation of the whole set of Williams' original predictions has been performed. For the sixtieth anniversary of the publication of the Williams' article, we provide an updated evaluation of all these predictions. We present the pros and cons of each prediction based on recent accumulation of both theoretical and empirical studies performed in the laboratory and in the wild. From our viewpoint, six predictions are mostly supported by our current knowledge at least under some conditions (although Williams' theory cannot thoroughly explain why for some of them). Three predictions, all involving the timing of senescence, are not supported. Our critical review of Williams' predictions highlights the importance of William's contribution and clearly demonstrates that, 60 years after its publication, his article does not show any sign of senescence.
威廉姆斯基于拮抗多效性的衰老进化论已成为进化生物学的一个里程碑,最近在生物老年学和进化医学领域也是如此。在他的原始文章中,威廉姆斯从他的理论中提出了一系列九条“可检验的推论”。尽管这些预测中的一些已经被反复讨论,但大多数都被忽视了,而且没有对威廉姆斯原始预测的整个集合进行系统的评估。为了庆祝威廉姆斯文章发表 60 周年,我们对所有这些预测进行了更新评估。我们根据最近在实验室和野外进行的理论和实证研究的积累,提出了每一个预测的优缺点。从我们的角度来看,至少在某些条件下(尽管威廉姆斯的理论不能彻底解释为什么有些情况下会这样),有六个预测得到了当前知识的支持。涉及衰老时机的三个预测则没有得到支持。我们对威廉姆斯预测的批判性回顾强调了他的贡献的重要性,并清楚地表明,在发表 60 年后,他的文章没有显示出任何衰老的迹象。