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制药行业并购交易的估值与战略定位批判性分析

Critical analysis of valuation and strategical orientation of merger and acquisition deals in the pharmaceutical industry.

作者信息

Dierks Raphaela Marie Louisa, Bruyère Olivier, Reginster Jean-Yves

机构信息

a Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health, Epidemiology and Health Economics , CHU Sart-Tilman , Liège , Belgium.

出版信息

Expert Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res. 2018 Apr;18(2):147-160. doi: 10.1080/14737167.2018.1417040. Epub 2017 Dec 20.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

The pharmaceutical industry is undergoing major shifts due to changing macro and micro factors. As the industry is highly capital intensive and patents are expiring, the outlook is on generating inorganic growth, mainly through M&A. Using the income valuation approach, one analyses two completed deals in 2016 above 1bn USD. Thereafter one outlines the main motives behind M&A deals and concluded by discussing whether M&A harms medical innovations.

AREAS COVERED

The paper is based on empirical study questioning existing literature in order to critically analyse valuation and the strategical orientation of pharmaceutical companies.

EXPERT COMMENTARY

Pharmaceutical companies understand the changing market conditions and favour their expertise. The restructuring of the industry moves to small niche companies (I.e. Biopharma or biotech companies) researching key innovations and big companies purchasing them to develop them, create clinical trials and distribute them as this is a costly manner Conclusion: One can expect more M&A deals during the next years focusing on value rather than volume. Pharmaceutical players resilient to the market changes may survive if they change their business model from a traditional vertical one to outsourcing and diversification including external players.

摘要

引言

由于宏观和微观因素的变化,制药行业正在经历重大变革。鉴于该行业资本密集度高且专利即将到期,其前景在于通过并购实现无机增长。运用收益估值法,分析了2016年两笔金额超过10亿美元的已完成交易。随后概述了并购交易背后的主要动机,并通过讨论并购是否损害医学创新得出结论。

涵盖领域

本文基于实证研究,对现有文献提出质疑,以便批判性地分析制药公司的估值和战略方向。

专家评论

制药公司了解不断变化的市场状况,并青睐自身专长。行业重组转向专注于关键创新的小型细分公司(即生物制药或生物技术公司),大型公司收购这些公司以进行研发、开展临床试验并进行分销,因为这成本高昂。结论:预计未来几年会有更多注重价值而非规模的并购交易。如果制药企业能从传统的垂直商业模式转变为外包和多元化模式,包括引入外部参与者,那么能够适应市场变化的企业可能会生存下来。

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