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先天性膈疝胎儿自发性早产:产前预测因素的回顾性队列研究。

Spontaneous prematurity in fetuses with congenital diaphragmatic hernia: a retrospective cohort study about prenatal predictive factors.

机构信息

Departamento de Obstetrícia e Ginecologia, Faculdade de Medicina, FMUSP,, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Av. Dr Eneas de Carvalho Aguiar, 255 Cerqueira Cesar, São Paulo, CEP: 05403-000, Brazil.

Estatística, Departamento de Ginecologia e Obstetrícia, Faculdade de Medicina, FMUSP, Universidade de São Paulo, Av. Dr Eneas de Carvalho Aguiar, 255 Cerqueira Cesar, São Paulo, CEP: 05403-000, Brazil.

出版信息

BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2018 Jan 12;18(1):27. doi: 10.1186/s12884-017-1652-6.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

To evaluate possible predictive factors of spontaneous prematurity in fetuses with congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed. Inclusion criteria were presence of CDH; absence of fetoscopy; absence of karyotype abnormality; maximum of one major malformation associated with diaphragmatic hernia; ultrasound monitoring at the Obstetrics Clinic of Clinicas Hospital at the University of São Paulo School of Medicine, from January 2001 to October 2014. The data were obtained through the electronic records and ultrasound system of our fetal medicine service. The following variables were analyzed: maternal age, primiparity, associated maternal diseases, smoking, previous spontaneous preterm birth, fetal malformation associated with hernia, polyhydramnios, fetal growth restriction, presence of intrathoracic liver, invasive procedures performed, side of hernia and observed-to- expected lung to head ratio (o/e LHR). On individual analysis, variables were assessed using the Chi-square test and the Mann-Whitney test. A multiple logistic regression model was applied to select variables independently influencing the prediction of preterm delivery. A ROC curve was constructed with the significant variable, identifying the values with best sensitivity and specificity to be suggested for use in clinical practice.

RESULTS

Eighty fetuses were evaluated, of which, 21 (26.25%) were premature. O/e LHR was the only factor associated with prematurity (p = 0.020). The ROC curve showed 93% sensitivity with 48.4% specificity for the cutoff of 40%.

CONCLUSION

O/e LHR was the only predictor of prematurity in this sample.

摘要

背景

评估胎儿先天性膈疝 (CDH) 自发性早产的可能预测因素。

方法

回顾性队列研究。纳入标准为存在 CDH;无胎儿镜检查;无染色体异常;与膈疝相关的最大一种主要畸形;2001 年 1 月至 2014 年 10 月期间在圣保罗大学医学院 Clinicas 医院妇产科诊所进行超声监测。通过我们的胎儿医学服务的电子记录和超声系统获取数据。分析了以下变量:母亲年龄、初产妇、伴发的母亲疾病、吸烟、先前自发性早产、与疝相关的胎儿畸形、羊水过多、胎儿生长受限、胸腔内肝存在、进行的侵袭性操作、疝的侧别以及观察到的与预期的肺头比(o/e LHR)。在个体分析中,使用卡方检验和曼-惠特尼检验评估变量。应用多因素逻辑回归模型选择独立影响早产预测的变量。用构建的 ROC 曲线对有意义的变量进行分析,确定最适合用于临床实践的最佳敏感性和特异性的截断值。

结果

评估了 80 例胎儿,其中 21 例(26.25%)早产。o/e LHR 是唯一与早产相关的因素(p=0.020)。ROC 曲线显示,截断值为 40%时,敏感性为 93%,特异性为 48.4%。

结论

在本样本中,o/e LHR 是唯一的早产预测因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/98da/5767016/c35887f8fdfe/12884_2017_1652_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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