Department of Colorectal Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China; Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Colorectal and Pelvic Floor Diseases, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Department of Colorectal Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China; Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Colorectal and Pelvic Floor Diseases, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Int J Surg. 2018 May;53:298-303. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2018.01.024. Epub 2018 Jan 31.
AIM: The impact of conversion from laparoscopic surgery to laparotomy on the development of anastomotic leak (AL) in rectal cancer patients following laparoscopic low anterior resection (LAR) with total mesorectal excision (TME) has not been evaluated. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of conversion on the risk of AL and develop a prediction nomogram for postoperative AL. METHODS: All rectal cancer patients following laparoscopic LAR with TME from January 2010 to October 2014 were enrolled in the primary cohort. Comparisons of the postoperative anastomotic leak incidence rate between converted patients and non-converted patients were performed using both univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. The result of multivariable analysis was used to develop the predicting model and the performance of nomogram was assessed with respect to its calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness. An independent validation cohort containing 200 patients from November 2014 to October 2015 was assessed. RESULTS: Of all patients enrolled (n=646), 592 (91.6%) patients underwent totally laparoscopic surgery, and 54 (8.4%) were converted from laparoscopic surgery to laparotomy. Converted group patients were more likely to have a higher body mass index (BMI), prolonged length of stay (LOS), increased overall postoperative complication rates and advanced clinical T stage (T3 or T4), pathological N stage (N1 or N2) and pathological TNM stage (III or IV). The percentage of patients who had preoperative radiotherapy for rectal cancer was higher in non-converted patients. Patients who underwent conversion to laparotomy (n=10, 18.5%) were more likely to suffer from postoperative AL than those undergoing totally laparoscopic surgery (n=38, 6.4%) (P=0.004). Multivariate logistic regression analyses confirmed the association between conversion and postoperative AL (Odds ratio [OR], 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.71 [1.31-5.63], P=0.007). Conversion, gender, and clinical N stage incorporated in the individualized prediction nomogram showed good discrimination, with a C-index of 0.697 (C-index, 0.621 and 0.772 through internal validation), and good calibration. In the validation cohort, the main results were consistent with the findings of the primary cohort, with a C-index of 0.670 (C-index, 0.562 and 0.777 through internal validation). Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the prediction nomogram was clinically useful. CONCLUSION: Conversion during laparoscopic LAR was found to be associated with an increased risk for the postoperative AL in RC patients. A nomogram model incorporating conversion, gender and patient's clinical N stage seems to offers a useful tool for predicting postoperative AL in these patients.
目的:评估腹腔镜直肠癌根治术(LAR)+全直肠系膜切除术(TME)后转为开腹手术对吻合口漏(AL)的影响。本研究旨在评估转化对 AL 风险的影响,并开发术后 AL 的预测列线图。
方法:2010 年 1 月至 2014 年 10 月,所有接受腹腔镜 LAR+TME 的直肠癌患者均被纳入原始队列。采用单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析比较转化组和非转化组的术后吻合口漏发生率。多变量分析的结果用于开发预测模型,并评估列线图的校准、判别和临床实用性。2014 年 11 月至 2015 年 10 月的一个独立验证队列中包含 200 例患者。
结果:所有入组患者(n=646)中,592 例(91.6%)患者行完全腹腔镜手术,54 例(8.4%)转为开腹手术。转化组患者的体重指数(BMI)更高、住院时间(LOS)延长、总体术后并发症发生率增加,临床 T 分期(T3 或 T4)、病理 N 分期(N1 或 N2)和病理 TNM 分期(III 或 IV)更晚。非转化组患者术前接受直肠癌放疗的比例更高。与完全腹腔镜手术组(n=38,6.4%)相比,转化为开腹手术组(n=10,18.5%)的患者术后更易发生 AL(P=0.004)。多因素 logistic 回归分析证实转化与术后 AL 之间存在关联(比值比[OR],95%置信区间[CI]:2.71[1.31-5.63],P=0.007)。纳入个体化预测列线图的转化、性别和临床 N 期显示出良好的判别能力,C 指数为 0.697(内部验证的 C 指数为 0.621 和 0.772),且校准良好。在验证队列中,主要结果与原始队列一致,C 指数为 0.670(内部验证的 C 指数为 0.562 和 0.777)。决策曲线分析表明预测列线图具有临床实用性。
结论:腹腔镜 LAR 期间的转化与 RC 患者术后 AL 风险增加有关。纳入转化、性别和患者临床 N 期的列线图模型似乎为预测这些患者术后 AL 提供了有用的工具。
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