Li Jianhui, Sun Xiaohua, Yao Danzhen, Xia Jinying
Department of Endocrine, Ningbo No. 2 Hospital, No. 41, Xibei Street, Ningbo, 315000 Zhejiang, China.
Int J Endocrinol. 2018 Mar 11;2018:5689030. doi: 10.1155/2018/5689030. eCollection 2018.
Antithyroid drug (ATD) treatment occupies the cornerstone therapeutic modality of Graves' disease (GD) with a high relapse rate after discontinuation. This study aimed to assess potential risk factors for GD relapse especially serum interleukin-17 (IL-17) expression.
Consecutive newly diagnosed GD patients who were scheduled to undergo ATD therapy from May 2011 to May 2014 were prospectively enrolled. Risk factors for GD relapse were analyzed by univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses. The association between serum IL-17 expression at cessation and GD relapse was analyzed with relapse-free survival (RFS) by the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank test.
Of the 117 patients, 72 (61.5%) maintained a remission for 12 months after ATD withdrawal and 45 (38.5%) demonstrated GD relapse. The final multivariate Cox analysis indicated elevated IL-17 expression at cessation to be an independent risk factor for GD relapse within 12 months after ATD withdrawal (HR: 3.04, 95% CI: 1.14-7.67, = 0.021). Patients with higher expressions of IL-17 (≥median value) at cessation demonstrated a significantly higher RFS than those with lower levels by the Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test ( = 0.028).
This present study indicated elevated serum IL-17 expression at cessation to be a predictor for GD relapse within 12 months.
抗甲状腺药物(ATD)治疗是格雷夫斯病(GD)的基石性治疗方式,但停药后复发率较高。本研究旨在评估GD复发的潜在危险因素,尤其是血清白细胞介素-17(IL-17)的表达。
前瞻性纳入2011年5月至2014年5月计划接受ATD治疗的连续新诊断GD患者。通过单因素和多因素Cox比例风险分析来分析GD复发的危险因素。采用Kaplan-Meier生存分析和对数秩检验,分析停药时血清IL-17表达与GD复发之间的关联及无复发生存期(RFS)。
117例患者中,72例(61.5%)在停用ATD后维持缓解12个月,45例(38.5%)出现GD复发。最终的多因素Cox分析表明,停药时IL-17表达升高是ATD停药后12个月内GD复发的独立危险因素(HR:3.04,95%CI:1.14 - 7.67,P = 0.021)。通过Kaplan-Meier分析和对数秩检验,停药时IL-17表达较高(≥中位数)的患者的RFS显著高于表达较低的患者(P = 0.028)。
本研究表明,停药时血清IL-17表达升高是GD在12个月内复发的一个预测指标。