巴西卫生系统的未来:对其通向不确定且令人沮丧前景的路径的简要回顾。

The future of the Brazilian Health System: a short review of its pathways towards an uncertain and discouraging horizon.

作者信息

Noronha José Carvalho de, Noronha Gustavo Souto de, Pereira Telma Ruth, Costa Ana Maria

机构信息

Instituto de Comunicação e Informação Científica e Tecnológica em Saúde, Fiocruz. Av. Brasil 4365, Manguinhos. 21040-360 Rio de Janeiro RJ Brasil.

Instituto Nacional de Colonização e Reforma Agrária. Rio de Janeiro RJ Brasil.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2018 Jun;23(6):2051-2059. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232018236.05732018.

Abstract

This article reflects on the future of the Brazilian Unified Health System (SUS, acronym in Portuguese), based on the foresight exercises conducted by the Brasil Saúde Amanhã initiative of the Oswaldo Cruz Foundation. The text briefly reviews some paths followed by the SUS as referred to in the Federal Constitution of 1988. It highlights the movement towards the decentralization of care and the constraint of health financial resources that reduced policies of increasing public expenditures. It examines the public and private arrangements for financing and provision of services that have resulted in sectoral privatization, mainly from economic policies articulated with concession of fiscal benefits. It analyzes the changes in the public sector financing through successive constitutional amendments that resulted in the weakening of established social protection policies, particularly of the health sector. For the future, the text considers population aging and analyzes trends in the epidemiological profile, with consequent changes in the health care paradigm. The article concludes by pointing out the consequences of fiscal strangling in the organization of the healthcare system and the need to reverse legal provisions that hamper the fulfillment of the constitutional mandate for equity and universality.

摘要

本文基于奥斯瓦尔多·克鲁兹基金会“巴西健康明天”倡议开展的前瞻性研究,探讨了巴西统一卫生系统(SUS,葡萄牙语首字母缩写)的未来。文本简要回顾了1988年《联邦宪法》提及的SUS所走过的一些道路。它强调了医疗服务去中心化的趋势以及卫生财政资源的限制,这减少了增加公共支出的政策。它审视了导致部门私有化的公共和私人融资及服务提供安排,主要源于与财政优惠特许权相关的经济政策。它分析了通过一系列宪法修正案导致公共部门融资的变化,这削弱了既定的社会保护政策,尤其是卫生部门的政策。对于未来,文本考虑了人口老龄化,并分析了流行病学特征的趋势,以及随之而来的医疗保健模式的变化。文章最后指出了财政紧缩在医疗系统组织方面的后果,以及扭转阻碍实现公平和普遍宪法授权的法律规定的必要性。

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