Kahn Steven A, Leonard Clint, Siordia Carlos
Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, University of South Alabama Medical Center, Mobile, Alabama.
Arnold Luterman Regional Burn Center, University of South Alabama Medical Center, Mobile, Alabama.
J Burn Care Res. 2019 Feb 20;40(2):196-201. doi: 10.1093/jbcr/iry037.
The United States Fire Administration (USFA) provides high-quality data for firefighter deaths (FFDs), but until now these data have not been analyzed for temporal trends. This analysis explores FFDs between 1990 and 2016 to determine high-risk groups for outreach and training. Mortality rates were calculated using USFA information compared against the total number of deaths per year. Rates were compared between 1990-2009 (early period) and 2010-2016 (recent period). Multinomial logistic regression was used to determine predictors of death in firefighters (FFs) by age group (≤45 and >45 years old) and by work status (career vs volunteer). Analysis of 3159 FFDs revealed a decline in crude-rate mortality between 1990-2009 and 2010-2016 (47.4 vs 35 FF deaths per million, P < .0001). FFs of ≤45 years old were less likely to die in the 2010s than in the 1990s-2000s (13.7 vs 24.7 FF deaths per million, P = .0002). Trauma-related deaths decreased (13.1 vs 8.1, P = .0003), whereas CV-related deaths remained constant (19.4 vs 19.5, P = .24). Regression analysis determined that volunteer FFs were more likely to die from burns (OR 1.7, CI: 1.2-2.4, P < .0001) and trauma (OR 1.8, CI: 1.5-2.2, P < .0001) than career FFs. Younger FFs were also more likely to die from burns (OR 10.4, CI: 6.9-15.6, P < .0001) and trauma (OR 6.5, CI: 5.4-7.8, P < .0001). Although overall FFDs were lower after 2010, younger and volunteer FFs saw an increase in burn and trauma-related mortality. Cardiovascular-related fatalities were consistent throughout the study. Future research should continue to make use of high-standard data to track FFDs and efficacy of interventions.
美国消防管理局(USFA)提供有关消防员死亡(FFD)的高质量数据,但到目前为止,这些数据尚未针对时间趋势进行分析。本分析探讨了1990年至2016年期间的消防员死亡情况,以确定需要进行宣传和培训的高危群体。死亡率是根据USFA的信息与每年的死亡总数进行比较计算得出的。对1990 - 2009年(早期)和2010 - 2016年(近期)的死亡率进行了比较。采用多项逻辑回归分析来确定按年龄组(≤45岁和>45岁)以及工作状态(职业消防员与志愿消防员)划分的消防员死亡预测因素。对3159例消防员死亡案例的分析显示,1990 - 2009年和2010 - 2016年期间粗死亡率有所下降(分别为每百万中有47.4例和35例消防员死亡,P <.0001)。与20世纪90年代至21世纪初相比,45岁及以下的消防员在2010年代死亡的可能性较小(每百万中有13.7例和24.7例消防员死亡,P =.0002)。与创伤相关的死亡人数有所下降(分别为13.1例和8.1例,P =.0003),而与心血管疾病(CV)相关的死亡人数保持稳定(分别为19.4例和19.5例,P =.24)。回归分析确定,志愿消防员比职业消防员更有可能死于烧伤(比值比[OR] 1.7,置信区间[CI]:1.2 - 2.4,P <.0001)和创伤(OR 1.8,CI:1.5 - 2.2,P <.0001)。较年轻的消防员也更有可能死于烧伤(OR 10.4,CI:6.9 - 15.6,P <.0001)和创伤(OR 6.5,CI:5.4 - 7.8,P <.0001)。尽管2010年之后总体消防员死亡人数有所下降,但年轻消防员和志愿消防员与烧伤及创伤相关的死亡率却有所上升。在整个研究过程中,与心血管疾病相关的死亡人数保持稳定。未来的研究应继续利用高标准数据来跟踪消防员死亡情况及干预措施的效果。