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剖析决策难度:检验跨期、赌博及消费者选择中的行动动态

Unpacking decision difficulty: Testing action dynamics in Intertemporal, gamble, and consumer choices.

作者信息

Cheng Jiuqing, González-Vallejo Claudia

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Northern Iowa, Cedar Falls, IA 50614, United States of America.

Department of Psychology, Ohio University, Athens, OH 45701, United States of America.

出版信息

Acta Psychol (Amst). 2018 Oct;190:199-216. doi: 10.1016/j.actpsy.2018.08.002. Epub 2018 Aug 21.

Abstract

The study examined the two-factor structure of decision difficulty proposed by Cheng and González-Vallejo (2017) in new domains, and the role of numeracy in relation to these factors. Using the measurement methodology of 'mouse' (cursor) movements, participants' temporal and spatial measures were recorded when making decisions in the domains of intertemporal, gamble, and consumer choices. Task manipulations designed to affect difficulty included the sign of the payoffs (gains vs. losses), the similarity of the attribute values being compared, and attribute importance. A psychometric analysis of the measures revealed three orthogonal components, two of which, conflict and wavering, described decision difficulty. The conflict component was most affected by changes in the sign of the payoffs of intertemporal and gamble choices, with greater means observed in the loss than in the gain context. By contrast, the wavering component was most affected by changes of the similarity between the options' attributes, with greater means when the options were more similar. The study also found that choosing the long-term advantageous options in an intertemporal choice task; choosing the riskier gain and safer loss in a gamble choice task; and choosing the more expensive/better-quality hotel in a consumer choice task demonstrated greater conflict and/or wavering. The study further found that numeracy, or the degree to which individuals are able to use and interpret numbers, was negatively related to the conflict component. Taken together, the study demonstrated that decision difficulty varied with contextual changes, and action-dynamic measures reflected different facets of decision difficulty.

摘要

该研究考察了程和冈萨雷斯 - 巴列霍(2017年)提出的决策难度双因素结构在新领域中的情况,以及数字素养与这些因素的关系。使用“鼠标”(光标)移动的测量方法,记录了参与者在跨期、赌博和消费者选择领域做出决策时的时间和空间测量值。旨在影响难度的任务操作包括收益的正负(收益与损失)、被比较属性值的相似性以及属性重要性。对这些测量值的心理测量分析揭示了三个正交成分,其中两个,即冲突和犹豫,描述了决策难度。冲突成分受跨期和赌博选择收益正负变化的影响最大,在损失情境中的均值高于收益情境。相比之下,犹豫成分受选项属性之间相似性变化的影响最大,当选项更相似时均值更大。该研究还发现,在跨期选择任务中选择长期有利的选项;在赌博选择任务中选择风险更高的收益和更安全的损失;以及在消费者选择任务中选择更昂贵/质量更好的酒店,表现出更大的冲突和/或犹豫。该研究进一步发现,数字素养,即个体使用和解释数字的能力,与冲突成分呈负相关。综上所述,该研究表明决策难度随情境变化而变化,行动动态测量反映了决策难度的不同方面。

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