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预测全球杀手鲸种群因 PCB 污染而崩溃。

Predicting global killer whale population collapse from PCB pollution.

机构信息

Department of Bioscience, Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, Frederiksborgvej 399, P.O. Box 358, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark.

Sea Mammal Research Unit, Scottish Oceans Institute, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, KY16 8LB, UK.

出版信息

Science. 2018 Sep 28;361(6409):1373-1376. doi: 10.1126/science.aat1953.

Abstract

Killer whales () are among the most highly polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB)-contaminated mammals in the world, raising concern about the health consequences of current PCB exposures. Using an individual-based model framework and globally available data on PCB concentrations in killer whale tissues, we show that PCB-mediated effects on reproduction and immune function threaten the long-term viability of >50% of the world's killer whale populations. PCB-mediated effects over the coming 100 years predicted that killer whale populations near industrialized regions, and those feeding at high trophic levels regardless of location, are at high risk of population collapse. Despite a near-global ban of PCBs more than 30 years ago, the world's killer whales illustrate the troubling persistence of this chemical class.

摘要

虎鲸(Killer whales)是世界上受多氯联苯(PCBs)污染最严重的哺乳动物之一,这引起了人们对当前 PCB 暴露对健康影响的关注。利用基于个体的模型框架和全球可获得的虎鲸组织中 PCB 浓度数据,我们表明,PCB 对生殖和免疫功能的影响威胁到全球超过 50%的虎鲸种群的长期生存能力。在未来 100 年内,由 PCB 引起的影响预测,在工业化地区附近的虎鲸种群,以及无论在何处都处于高营养级别的虎鲸种群,都有很高的种群崩溃风险。尽管 30 多年前全球几乎禁止使用 PCBs,但世界范围内的虎鲸仍说明了这类化学物质令人不安的持久性。

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