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挪威感染源不明的传染性鲑鱼贫血症(ISA)疫情相关风险因素

Risk Factors Associated With Outbreaks of Infectious Salmon Anemia (ISA) With Unknown Source of Infection in Norway.

作者信息

Lyngstad Trude Marie, Qviller Lars, Sindre Hilde, Brun Edgar, Kristoffersen Anja B

机构信息

Norwegian Veterinary Institute, Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Front Vet Sci. 2018 Dec 6;5:308. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2018.00308. eCollection 2018.

Abstract

The occurrence of infectious salmon anemia (ISA) outbreaks in marine farmed Atlantic salmon constitutes a recurring challenge in Norway. Here, we aim to identify risk factors associated with ISA outbreaks with an unknown source of infection (referred to as primary ISA outbreaks). Primary ISA outbreaks are here defined by an earlier published transmission model. We explored a wide range of possible risk factors with logistic regression analysis, trying to explain occurrence of primary ISA with available data from all Norwegian farm sites from 2004 to June 2017. Explanatory variables included site latitude and a range of production and disease data. The mean annual risk of having a primary outbreak of ISA in Norway was 0.7% during this study period. We identified the occurrence of infectious pancreatic necrosis (IPN), having a stocking period longer than 2 months, having the site located at high latitude and high fish density (biomass per cage volume) in the first six months after transfer to sea site as significant risk factors ( < 0.05). We have identified factors related to management routines, other disease problems, and latitude that may help to understand the hitherto unidentified drivers behind the emergence of primary ISA outbreaks. Based on our findings, we also provide management advice that may reduce the incidence of primary ISA outbreaks.

摘要

在挪威,海水养殖的大西洋鲑鱼爆发传染性鲑鱼贫血症(ISA)是一个反复出现的挑战。在此,我们旨在确定与感染源不明的ISA爆发(称为原发性ISA爆发)相关的风险因素。原发性ISA爆发在此根据先前发表的传播模型进行定义。我们使用逻辑回归分析探究了广泛的可能风险因素,试图用2004年至2017年6月挪威所有养殖场的现有数据解释原发性ISA的发生情况。解释变量包括养殖场纬度以及一系列生产和疾病数据。在本研究期间,挪威发生原发性ISA爆发的年均风险为0.7%。我们确定,传染性胰腺坏死(IPN)的发生、放养鱼种的时间超过2个月、养殖场位于高纬度地区以及转移到海水养殖场后的头六个月内鱼密度高(每网箱体积的生物量)是显著的风险因素(<0.05)。我们已经确定了与管理程序、其他疾病问题和纬度相关的因素,这些因素可能有助于理解原发性ISA爆发出现背后迄今尚未明确的驱动因素。基于我们的研究结果,我们还提供了可能降低原发性ISA爆发发生率的管理建议。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ce58/6292176/076f542020e9/fvets-05-00308-g0001.jpg

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