Population-Based Assessment of HPV Genotype-Specific Cervical Cancer Survival: CDC Cancer Registry Sentinel Surveillance System.

BACKGROUND

Human papillomavirus (HPV) genotype influences the development of invasive cervical cancer (ICC); however, there is uncertainty regarding the association of HPV genotype with survival among ICC patients.

METHODS

Follow-up data were collected from 693 previously selected and HPV-typed ICC cases that were part of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Cancer Registry Surveillance System. Cases were diagnosed between 1994 and 2005. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate five-year all-cause survival. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the effect of HPV genotype on survival after adjusting for demographic, tumor, and treatment characteristics.

RESULTS

Five-year all-cause survival rates varied by HPV status (HPV 16: 66.9%, HPV 18: 65.7%, HPV 31/33/45/52/58: 70.8%, other oncogenic HPV genotypes: 79.0%, nononcogenic HPV: 69.3%, HPV-negative: 54.0%). Following multivariable adjustment, no statistically significant survival differences were found for ICC patients with HPV 16-positive tumors compared with women with tumors positive for HPV 18, other oncogenic HPV types, or HPV-negative tumors. Women with detectable HPV 31/33/33/45/52/58 had a statistically significant 40% reduced hazard of death at five years (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.38 to 0.95), and women who tested positive for nononcogenic HPV genotypes had a statistically significant 57% reduced hazard of death at five years (95% CI = 0.19 to 0.96) compared with women with HPV 16 tumors. Few statistically significant differences in HPV positivity, tumor characteristics, treatment, or survival were found by race/ethnicity.

CONCLUSIONS

HPV genotype statistically significantly influenced five-year survival rates among women with ICC; however, screening and HPV vaccination remain the most important factors to improve patient prognosis and prevent future cases.